UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2
Las Vegas, USA
28 Dec 2013
Welterweight
VS
38%
Howard
62%
Bahadurzada
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Bahadurzada
Bahadurzada holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Howard has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Bahadurzada has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Striking split: Bahadurzada throws more volume but Howard connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Howard's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Howard
Bahadurzada
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'11"
72"
Reach
+73"
43
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Howard
Bahadurzada
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.7
22.4
40.1
Performance Avg
52.2
34
Quality of Victory
54
40
Momentum Score
78
Howard
Bahadurzada
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.2
57%
Strike Accuracy
45%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
4
3
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance3
7Clinch2
7Ground0
Howard
Bahadurzada
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Howard
Bahadurzada
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
92
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/37 fights
Chin rating based on
8/32 fights
Howard
Bahadurzada
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
78
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
Howard
Bahadurzada
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Howard
Bahadurzada
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
HowardBahadurzada
Strike Zones
Howard
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedBahadurzada
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Howard targets the head (75% of attacks) — Bahadurzada absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Bahadurzada targets the head (80% of attacks) — Howard absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Howard
RND
Bahadurzada
0/0R00/0
Howard · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Bahadurzada · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Howard · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Tim MeansRating 2.8KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Cathal PendredRating 4.5Decision
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L · KO · R1
Lorenz LarkinRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
L · Dec · R3
Brian EbersoleRating 5.5Decision
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Ryan LaFlareRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs Nelson · 2014-04
Bahadurzada · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ismail NaurdievRating 6Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Curtis MillenderRating 5.5Decision
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · KO · R2
Luan ChagasRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
W · KO · R2
Rob WilkinsonRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · 2017-09
W · Sub · R3
Brandon ThatchRating 5.5Submission
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