METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2
Las Vegas, USA
28 Dec 2013
Welterweight
VS
38%
Howard
62%
Bahadurzada
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
John HowardwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Siyar Bahadurzada · UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Bahadurzada
→
Actual result
Howard wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Bahadurzada holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Howard has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Bahadurzada has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Risk flags
Howard's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HowardBahadurzada
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Howard
Bahadurzada
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'11"
72"
Reach
+73"
43
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Howard
Bahadurzada
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.7
22.4
40.1
Performance Avg
52.2
34
Quality of Victory
54
40
Momentum Score
78
Howard
Bahadurzada
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
8.5
/ 10
3.5
Style: Pressure
8.5
6.7
Style: Volume
1.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
4
3
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance3
7Clinch2
7Ground0
Howard
Bahadurzada
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Howard
Bahadurzada
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
92
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/37 fights
Chin rating based on
8/32 fights
Howard
Bahadurzada
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
78
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
Howard
Bahadurzada
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Howard
Bahadurzada
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
HowardBahadurzada
Strike Zones
Howard
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedBahadurzada
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Howard targets the head (75% of attacks) — Bahadurzada absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Bahadurzada targets the head (80% of attacks) — Howard absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Howard
RND
Bahadurzada
0/0R00/0
Howard · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Tim MeansKO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
Lorenz LarkinKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
L · Dec · R3
Brian EbersoleDecision
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Ryan LaFlareDecision
UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs Nelson · 2014-04
Bahadurzada · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ismail NaurdievDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier · 2019-09
L · Dec · R3
Curtis MillenderDecision
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · KO · R2
Luan ChagasKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
W · KO · R2
Rob WilkinsonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · 2017-09
W · Sub · R3
Brandon ThatchSubmission
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 2016-03