UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa
Las Vegas, USA
16 May 2026
Bantamweight
VS
43%
Cuamba
57%
Sopaj
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:25
TC
Timmy Cuamba
"Twilight"
104
5'9"71" reachOrthodox27 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 42
Benardo
Benardo Sopaj
"Lion King"
133
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak25 yrsOrthodox66" reach5'6"
CFR 54

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Sopaj

This is a genuine toss-up — Cuamba at 43% vs Sopaj at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Sopaj has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Cuamba
Sopaj
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'6"
71"+
Reach
66"
27
Age
+25
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cuamba
Sopaj
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.8
54.4
40.0
Performance Avg
49.0
40
Quality of Victory
37
28
Momentum Score
70
Cuamba
Sopaj
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
2.2
53%
Strike Accuracy
60%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
25
3
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground23
Cuamba
Sopaj
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cuamba
Sopaj
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
5/14 fights
Chin rating based on
3/16 fights
Cuamba
Sopaj
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
70
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Cuamba
Sopaj
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cuamba
Sopaj
Striking5.8 / 1.3Volume4.8 / 5.3Grappling1.2 / 5.2Wrestling0.8 / 3.6Submission0.0 / 5.0Pressure4.7 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
Cuamba
Strike Zones
Sopaj
Cuamba
Attacking
5HEAD3BODY1LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD0BODY1LEGS26 absorbed
Sopaj
Attacking
25HEAD0BODY1LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD3BODY1LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cuamba targets the head (56% of attacks) — Sopaj absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Sopaj targets the head (96% of attacks) — Cuamba absorbs 96% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cuamba
RND
Sopaj
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Cuamba · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.5L5.6L5.2W5.8W3.7L2024-022024-062025-042025-112026-05
WinLossTrend

Sopaj · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0L4.5W5.6W2024-032025-012026-05
WinLossTrend

Cuamba · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Benardo SopajRating 3.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
ChangHo LeeRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · KO · R2
Roberto RomeroRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Lucas AlmeidaRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Bolaji OkiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02

Sopaj · Last 3

W · Sub · R2
Timmy CuambaRating 5.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Ricky TurciosRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
L · KO · R3
Vinicius OliveiraRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03

News & Media

Timmy Cuamba · Benardo Sopaj
← Back to fights