UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa
Las Vegas, USA
16 May 2026
Bantamweight
VS
43%
Cuamba
57%
Sopaj
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:25
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Sopaj
This is a genuine toss-up — Cuamba at 43% vs Sopaj at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Sopaj has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Cuamba
Sopaj
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'6"
71"+
Reach
66"
27
Age
+25
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cuamba
Sopaj
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.8
54.4
40.0
Performance Avg
49.0
40
Quality of Victory
37
28
Momentum Score
70
Cuamba
Sopaj
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
2.2
53%
Strike Accuracy
60%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
25
3
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground23
Cuamba
Sopaj
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cuamba
Sopaj
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/14 fights
Chin rating based on
3/16 fights
Cuamba
Sopaj
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
70
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Cuamba
Sopaj
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cuamba
Sopaj
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
CuambaSopaj
Strike Zones
Cuamba
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedSopaj
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cuamba targets the head (56% of attacks) — Sopaj absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Sopaj targets the head (96% of attacks) — Cuamba absorbs 96% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cuamba
RND
Sopaj
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Cuamba · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Sopaj · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Cuamba · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Benardo SopajRating 3.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
ChangHo LeeRating 5.8Decision
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W · KO · R2
Roberto RomeroRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Lucas AlmeidaRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
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UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
Sopaj · Last 3
W · Sub · R2
Timmy CuambaRating 5.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Ricky TurciosRating 4.5Decision
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L · KO · R3
Vinicius OliveiraRating 5KO/TKO
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