METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos
Winnipeg, Canada
16 Dec 2017
Welterweight
VS
53%
Mein
47%
Silva
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jordan MeinwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Erick Silva · UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Mein
→
Actual result
Mein wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Mein at 53% vs Silva at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Risk flags
Mein's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Silva has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MeinSilva
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Mein
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
+74"
36+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Mein
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.6
17.5
45.6
Performance Avg
51.3
39
Quality of Victory
54
100
Momentum Score
46
Mein
Silva
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.1
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
8.4
5.9
Style: Volume
0.9
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
1
0
Body
2
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance4
0Clinch0
9Ground0
Mein
Silva
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
5.7
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
7.1
0
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Mein
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
4
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/43 fights
Chin rating based on
15/28 fights
Mein
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
46
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Mein
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
5
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mein
Silva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.7
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
7.1
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.4
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
MeinSilva
Strike Zones
Mein
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedSilva
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Mein targets the head (83% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the body (50% of attacks) — Mein absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mein
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
Mein · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Erick SilvaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadDecision
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker · 2017-07
L · Dec · R3
Emil MeekDecision
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12
L · KO · R2
Thiago AlvesKO/TKO
UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz · 2015-01
Silva · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jordan MeinDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12
L · KO · R2
Yancy MedeirosKO/TKO
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
W · Sub · R3
Luan ChagasSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · 2016-09
L · KO · R2
Nordine TalebKO/TKO
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 2016-03
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08