METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos
Winnipeg, Canada
16 Dec 2017
Welterweight
VS
53%
Mein
47%
Silva
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jordan MeinwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Erick Silva · UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Mein
→
Actual result
Mein wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Mein at 53% vs Silva at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Mein's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Silva has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MeinSilva
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Mein
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
+74"
36+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Mein
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.6
17.5
45.6
Performance Avg
51.3
39
Quality of Victory
54
100
Momentum Score
46
Mein
Silva
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
1.3
45%
Strike Accuracy
57%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
1
0
Body
2
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance4
0Clinch0
9Ground0
Mein
Silva
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.7
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Mein
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
4
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/43 fights
Chin rating based on
15/28 fights
Mein
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
46
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Mein
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
5
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mein
Silva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.7
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
7.1
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.4
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
MeinSilva
Strike Zones
Mein
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedSilva
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Mein targets the head (83% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the body (50% of attacks) — Mein absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mein
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
Mein · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Mein · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Erick SilvaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6Decision
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker · 2017-07
L · Dec · R3
Emil MeekRating 5.5Decision
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12
L · KO · R2
Thiago AlvesRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz · 2015-01
Silva · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jordan MeinRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12
L · KO · R2
Yancy MedeirosRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
W · Sub · R3
Luan ChagasRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · 2016-09
L · KO · R2
Nordine TalebRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 2016-03
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08