METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale
Las Vegas, USA
3 Dec 2016
Women's Bantamweight
VS
57%
McMann
43%
Davis
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:52
★ Official Result
Sara McMannwinsSubmissionR2 · 2:52
def. Alexis Davis · The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
McMann
→
Actual result
McMann wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — McMann at 57% vs Davis at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
McMann's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Davis has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
McMannDavis
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
McMann
Davis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
66"
Reach
+68"
45
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
McMann
Davis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.4
21.5
44.1
Performance Avg
39.7
38
Quality of Victory
28
92
Momentum Score
45
McMann
Davis
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
1.1
/ 10
4.6
Style: Pressure
2.6
5.7
Style: Volume
8.1
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
3
0
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground0
McMann
Davis
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.7
/ 10
3.1
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.2
2.9
Submission Style (/10)
1.3
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
McMann
Davis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
58
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/19 fights
Chin rating based on
14/32 fights
McMann
Davis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
92
45
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
McMann
Davis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
13%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McMann
Davis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.1
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.6
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.1
McMannDavis
Strike Zones
McMann
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedDavis
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McMann targets the head (50% of attacks) — Davis absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Davis targets the head (75% of attacks) — McMann absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McMann
RND
Davis
0/0R00/0
McMann · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Karol RosaDecision
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W · Dec · R3
Lina LansbergDecision
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L · Sub · R2
Marion ReneauSubmission
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L · Sub · R2
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UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
Davis · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Julija StoliarenkoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Pannie KianzadDecision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
W · Dec · R3
Sabina MazoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane · 2021-02
L · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoDecision
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03