METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale
Las Vegas, USA
3 Dec 2016
Women's Bantamweight
VS
57%
McMann
43%
Davis
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:52
★ Official Result
Sara McMannwinsSubmissionR2 · 2:52
def. Alexis Davis · The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
McMann
→
Actual result
McMann wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — McMann at 57% vs Davis at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Davis has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
McMann's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Davis has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
McMannDavis
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
McMann
Davis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
66"
Reach
+68"
45
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
McMann
Davis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.4
21.5
44.1
Performance Avg
39.7
38
Quality of Victory
28
92
Momentum Score
45
McMann
Davis
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
1.4
47%
Strike Accuracy
47%
2.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
3
0
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground0
McMann
Davis
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
3.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.1
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
McMann
Davis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
58
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/19 fights
Chin rating based on
14/32 fights
McMann
Davis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
92
45
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
McMann
Davis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
13%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McMann
Davis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.1
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.6
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.1
McMannDavis
Strike Zones
McMann
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedDavis
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McMann targets the head (50% of attacks) — Davis absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Davis targets the head (75% of attacks) — McMann absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McMann
RND
Davis
0/0R00/0
McMann · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Davis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
McMann · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Karol RosaRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
L · Sub · R3
Julianna PenaRating 5.5Submission
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
W · Dec · R3
Lina LansbergRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · Sub · R2
Marion ReneauRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · 2018-02
L · Sub · R2
Ketlen VieiraRating 3.1Submission
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
Davis · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Julija StoliarenkoRating 4.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Pannie KianzadRating 5.5Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
W · Dec · R3
Sabina MazoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane · 2021-02
L · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 6.2Decision
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03