The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale
Las Vegas, USA
3 Dec 2016
Women's Bantamweight
VS
57%
McMann
43%
Davis
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:52
SM
Sara McMann
13 – 6
5'6"66" reachOrthodox45 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 28
AD
Alexis Davis
21 – 11
Well-Rounded41 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'6"
CFR 22

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: McMann

This is a genuine toss-up — McMann at 57% vs Davis at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Davis has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

McMann's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Davis has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.

McMann
Davis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
66"
Reach
+68"
45
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
McMann
Davis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.4
21.5
44.1
Performance Avg
39.7
38
Quality of Victory
28
92
Momentum Score
45
McMann
Davis
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.4
47%
Strike Accuracy
47%
2.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
3
0
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground0
McMann
Davis
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
3.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.1
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
McMann
Davis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
58
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/19 fights
Chin rating based on
14/32 fights
McMann
Davis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
92
45
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
McMann
Davis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
13%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

McMann
Davis
Striking2.5 / 1.1Volume5.7 / 8.1Grappling3.7 / 3.1Wrestling2.6 / 2.2Submission2.9 / 1.3Pressure4.6 / 2.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.1
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.6
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.1
McMann
Strike Zones
Davis
McMann
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Davis
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯McMann targets the head (50% of attacks) — Davis absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Davis targets the head (75% of attacks) — McMann absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

McMann
RND
Davis
0/0R00/0

McMann · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.0W1.5L5.3W6.4L2.7L4.5W5.2W5.0W3.1L2.8L4.5W5.5L5.2W2013-042015-082017-092022-03
WinLossTrend

Davis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.5W4.5W4.5W1.5L5.2W2.8L4.5W4.5W5.8L5.5L6.2L4.5W5.5L4.8W2013-062015-042018-072021-062022-02
WinLossTrend

McMann · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Karol RosaRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
L · Sub · R3
Julianna PenaRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
W · Dec · R3
Lina LansbergRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · Sub · R2
Marion ReneauRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · 2018-02
L · Sub · R2
Ketlen VieiraRating 3.1
Submission
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09

Davis · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Julija StoliarenkoRating 4.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Pannie KianzadRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
W · Dec · R3
Sabina MazoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane · 2021-02
L · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03

News & Media

Sara McMann · Alexis Davis
← Back to fights