UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland
Orlando, USA
3 Dec 2022
Middleweight
VS
46%
Hermansson
54%
Dolidze
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:06
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Dolidze
This is a genuine toss-up — Hermansson at 46% vs Dolidze at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hermansson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hermansson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hermansson
Dolidze
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
77"+
Reach
76"
37
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hermansson
Dolidze
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.8
63.3
48.1
Performance Avg
52.0
42
Quality of Victory
44
97
Momentum Score
100
Hermansson
Dolidze
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.3
50%
Strike Accuracy
47%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.8
3 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
20
5
Body
1
7
Leg
0
RangeRange
20Distance9
2Clinch1
0Ground11
Hermansson
Dolidze
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.1
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hermansson
Dolidze
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
80
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.4 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/34 fights
Chin rating based on
14/20 fights
Hermansson
Dolidze
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
97
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Hermansson
Dolidze
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
56%
3
KO / TKO Wins
5
3
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hermansson
Dolidze
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.1
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
HermanssonDolidze
Strike Zones
Hermansson
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedDolidze
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hermansson targets the head (45% of attacks) — Dolidze absorbs 45% of strikes there
🎯Dolidze targets the head (95% of attacks) — Hermansson absorbs 95% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hermansson
RND
Dolidze
0/0R00/0
Hermansson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Dolidze · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Hermansson · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Myktybek OrolbaiRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · KO · R1
Gregory RodriguesRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Joe PyferRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · KO · R2
Roman DolidzeRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Chris CurtisRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
Dolidze · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Christian Leroy DuncanRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
L · Sub · R4
Anthony HernandezRating 4.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · Dec · R5
Marvin VettoriRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · KO · R1
Kevin HollandRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Anthony SmithRating 5.7Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06

