METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia
Kallang, Singapore
17 Jun 2017
Flyweight
VS
43%
Scoggins
57%
Sasaki
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:19
★ Official Result
Yuta SasakiwinsSubmissionR2 · 3:19
def. Justin Scoggins · UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Sasaki
→
Actual result
Sasaki wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Scoggins at 43% vs Sasaki at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Sasaki has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Risk flags
Scoggins's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sasaki has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ScogginsSasaki
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Scoggins
Sasaki
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'10"
66"
Reach
+71"
34+
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Scoggins
Sasaki
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.5
17.8
38.0
Performance Avg
48.2
34
Quality of Victory
51
39
Momentum Score
46
Scoggins
Sasaki
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
3.1
Style: Pressure
8.3
6.9
Style: Volume
0.9
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
1
0
Body
0
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch0
8Ground1
Scoggins
Sasaki
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Scoggins
Sasaki
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
40
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/16 fights
Chin rating based on
9/27 fights
Scoggins
Sasaki
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
46
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Scoggins
Sasaki
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
4
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Scoggins
Sasaki
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.3
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
ScogginsSasaki
Strike Zones
Scoggins
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedSasaki
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Scoggins targets the head (89% of attacks) — Sasaki absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Sasaki targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Scoggins absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Scoggins
RND
Sasaki
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Scoggins · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Said NurmagomedovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · Sub · R2
Yuta SasakiSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
L · Sub · R2
Pedro MunhozSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
W · Dec · R3
Ray BorgDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
W · Dec · R3
Josh SampoDecision
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05
Sasaki · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Alexandre PantojaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
W · Sub · R2
Jenel LausaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards · 2018-06
L · Sub · R1
Jussier FormigaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09
W · Sub · R2
Justin ScogginsSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Wilson ReisDecision
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02