UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3
Houston, USA
8 Oct 2011
Featherweight
VS
26%
Tiequan
74%
Elkins
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
ZT
Zhang Tiequan
"The Wolf"
15 – 4
5'8"69" reachOrthodox47 yrs3-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 16
Darren
Darren Elkins
"The Damage"
29 – 12
Well-Rounded42 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'10"
CFR 45

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Elkins

Elkins is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Tiequan has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.

Striking split: Elkins throws more volume but Tiequan connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Elkins has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Tiequan
Elkins
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
69"
Reach
+71"
47
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tiequan
Elkins
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.1
44.7
42.4
Performance Avg
46.3
54
Quality of Victory
35
22
Momentum Score
66
Tiequan
Elkins
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.3
41%
Strike Accuracy
38%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
14
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground13
Tiequan
Elkins
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Tiequan
Elkins
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
0
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/19 fights
Chin rating based on
30/41 fights
Tiequan
Elkins
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
22
66
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Tiequan
Elkins
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
37%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
3
0
Decision Wins
12

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Tiequan
Elkins
Striking0.5 / 3.4Volume0.5 / 6.3Grappling8.0 / 2.8Wrestling5.6 / 1.9Submission10.0 / 1.6Pressure7.8 / 4.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.6
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
Tiequan
Strike Zones
Elkins
Tiequan
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD0BODY0LEGS14 absorbed
Elkins
Attacking
14HEAD0BODY0LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Tiequan targets the head (100% of attacks) — Elkins absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Elkins targets the head (100% of attacks) — Tiequan absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Tiequan
RND
Elkins
0/0R00/0

Tiequan · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W6.0L2.8L5.5L2011-022011-102012-022012-11
WinLossTrend

Elkins · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W2.9L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.0W1.5L4.5W6.0L4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5W4.5W5.3W7.0L4.0L5.5L6.2L5.5W5.2W2.0L4.5W6.0L5.5W5.4W1.7L2010-032013-082017-072021-122025-04
WinLossTrend

Tiequan · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Jon TuckRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · 2012-11
L · KO · R2
Issei TamuraRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson · 2012-02
L · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6
Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
W · Sub · R1
Jason ReinhardtRating 5
Submission
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02

Elkins · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Julian ErosaRating 1.7
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Daniel PinedaRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
W · Sub · R3
TJ BrownRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Jonathan PearceRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Tristan ConnellyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04

News & Media

Zhang Tiequan · Darren Elkins
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