UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
Las Vegas, USA
1 Oct 2022
Bantamweight
VS
60%
Barcelos
40%
Jones
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Raoni
Raoni Barcelos
22 – 5
5'7"67" reachOrthodox39 yrs5-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 52
TJ
Trevin Jones
"5 Star"
13 – 10
Knockout Artist4-fight slide35 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'7"
CFR 35

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Barcelos

Barcelos holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Jones has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Jones has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.

Barcelos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Barcelos
Jones
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
67"
Reach
+70"
39
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Barcelos
Jones
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.6
35.1
49.8
Performance Avg
41.0
34
Quality of Victory
55
63
Momentum Score
26
Barcelos
Jones
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
0.9
55%
Strike Accuracy
38%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
3
9
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
22Distance5
1Clinch0
12Ground0
Barcelos
Jones
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Barcelos
Jones
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
82
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/27 fights
Chin rating based on
6/23 fights
Barcelos
Jones
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
26
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
Barcelos
Jones
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
36%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Barcelos
Jones
Striking3.3 / 10.0Volume6.6 / 0.4Grappling3.0 / 0.0Wrestling2.1 / 0.0Submission1.8 / 0.0Pressure4.8 / 7.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
Barcelos
Strike Zones
Jones
Barcelos
Attacking
25HEAD9BODY1LEGS35 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD2BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Jones
Attacking
3HEAD2BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD9BODY1LEGS35 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Barcelos targets the head (71% of attacks) — Jones absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Jones targets the head (60% of attacks) — Barcelos absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Barcelos
RND
Jones
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Barcelos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5W5.7W5.2W5.9W4.5W5.5L6.4L4.5W2.8L6.2L6.3W6.0W5.6W5.2W5.4W2018-072020-112023-012025-062026-04
WinLossTrend

Jones · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.9
0106.3W4.3L5.9L6.3L6.6L2021-032021-082022-032022-102023-03
WinLossTrend

Barcelos · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Montel JacksonRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Ricky SimonRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Cody GarbrandtRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Payton TalbottRating 6
Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Sub · R3
Cristian QuinonezRating 6.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02

Jones · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Cody GarbrandtRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
L · Dec · R3
Raoni BarcelosRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
L · Dec · R3
Javid BasharatRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
L · Sub · R3
Saidyokub KakhramonovRating 4.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum · 2021-08
W · KO · R2
Mario BautistaRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03

News & Media

Raoni Barcelos · Trevin Jones
← Back to fights