The Ultimate Fighter: Team Liddell vs Team Ortiz Finale
Las Vegas, USA
19 Jun 2010
Middleweight
VS
50%
Leben
50%
Simpson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:17
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Leben
This is a genuine toss-up — Leben at 50% vs Simpson at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Leben has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Striking split: Leben throws more volume but Simpson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Leben's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Simpson has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Leben
Simpson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
73"
Reach
73"
45+
Age
51
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Leben
Simpson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.4
17.5
50.5
Performance Avg
46.0
48
Quality of Victory
34
59
Momentum Score
76
Leben
Simpson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.0
45%
Strike Accuracy
49%
6.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
7 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
10
0
Body
6
8
Leg
1
RangeRange
17Distance11
9Clinch6
4Ground0
Leben
Simpson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.9
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Leben
Simpson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
52
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/33 fights
Chin rating based on
11/17 fights
Leben
Simpson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
76
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Leben
Simpson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
29%
7
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Leben
Simpson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
LebenSimpson
Strike Zones
Leben
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedSimpson
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Leben targets the head (73% of attacks) — Simpson absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Simpson targets the head (59% of attacks) — Leben absorbs 59% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Leben
RND
Simpson
0/0R00/0
Leben · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Simpson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Leben · Last 5
L · R1
Uriah HallRating 4UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · 2013-12
L · Dec · R3
Andrew CraigRating 5.5Decision
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Derek BrunsonRating 5.8Decision
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
L · KO · R2
Mark MunozRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11
W · KO · R1
Wanderlei SilvaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07
Simpson · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Mike PierceRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
W · Dec · R3
Kenny RobertsonRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman · 2012-07
L · Dec · R3
Ronny MarkesRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger · 2012-02
W · Dec · R3
Eric SchaferRating 4.5Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
W · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 4.5Decision
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07