UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus
Las Vegas, USA
18 Dec 2021
Heavyweight
VS
53%
Mayes
47%
Parisian
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 3:26
Don'Tale
Don'Tale Mayes
"Lord Kong"
11 – 9
6'6"81" reachOrthodox34 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 41
Josh
Josh Parisian
15 – 8
Well-Rounded3-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'4"
CFR 36

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Mayes

This is a genuine toss-up — Mayes at 53% vs Parisian at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Parisian throws more volume but Mayes connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Mayes's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Parisian has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Mayes
Parisian
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'6"+
Height
6'4"
81"+
Reach
79"
34+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Mayes
Parisian
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.2
36.1
37.8
Performance Avg
35.4
39
Quality of Victory
40
43
Momentum Score
50
Mayes
Parisian
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.7
46%
Strike Accuracy
43%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
4
2
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance2
0Clinch3
1Ground0
Mayes
Parisian
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Mayes
Parisian
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
40
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/20 fights
Chin rating based on
7/23 fights
Mayes
Parisian
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
50
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
Mayes
Parisian
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Mayes
Parisian
Striking5.7 / 5.6Volume4.7 / 4.6Grappling1.2 / 1.2Wrestling0.8 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.6 / 4.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
Mayes
Strike Zones
Parisian
Mayes
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Parisian
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Mayes targets the head (67% of attacks) — Parisian absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Parisian targets the head (80% of attacks) — Mayes absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Mayes
RND
Parisian
0/0R00/0

Mayes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.8L3.1L4.5W5.6W5.7L6.0W5.8L4.5W6.2L3.4L5.5L2019-102021-122023-112025-022025-05
WinLossTrend

Parisian · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.5L4.5W4.3L5.2W5.7L2.5L2.3L2020-112021-122023-022024-03
WinLossTrend

Mayes · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Thomas PetersenRating 5.5
Decision
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L · Sub · R1
Valter WalkerRating 3.4
Submission
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L · Dec · R3
Shamil GazievRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Caio MachadoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
L · Dec · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11

Parisian · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Robelis DespaigneRating 2.3
KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Sub · R1
Martin BudayRating 2.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
Jamal PoguesRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02
W · KO · R2
Alan BaudotRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
L · KO · R3
Don'Tale MayesRating 4.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12

News & Media

Don'Tale Mayes · Josh Parisian
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