METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus
Las Vegas, USA
18 Dec 2021
Heavyweight
VS
58%
Mayes
42%
Parisian
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 3:26
★ Official Result
Don'Tale MayeswinsKO/TKOR3 · 3:26
def. Josh Parisian · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Mayes
→
Actual result
Mayes wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Mayes at 58% vs Parisian at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Mayes's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Parisian has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MayesParisian
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Mayes
Parisian
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'6"+
Height
6'4"
81"+
Reach
79"
34+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Mayes
Parisian
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.2
30.1
37.8
Performance Avg
35.4
39
Quality of Victory
40
43
Momentum Score
50
Mayes
Parisian
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.7
/ 10
5.6
/ 10
4.6
Style: Pressure
4.4
4.7
Style: Volume
4.6
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
4
2
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance2
0Clinch3
1Ground0
Mayes
Parisian
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Mayes
Parisian
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
40
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/20 fights
Chin rating based on
7/23 fights
Mayes
Parisian
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
50
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
Mayes
Parisian
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mayes
Parisian
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
MayesParisian
Strike Zones
Mayes
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedParisian
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Mayes targets the head (67% of attacks) — Parisian absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Parisian targets the head (80% of attacks) — Mayes absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mayes
RND
Parisian
0/0R00/0
Mayes · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Thomas PetersenDecision
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L · Sub · R1
Valter WalkerSubmission
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L · Dec · R3
Shamil GazievDecision
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W · Dec · R3
Caio MachadoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
L · Dec · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11
Parisian · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Robelis DespaigneKO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Sub · R1
Martin BudaySubmission
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
Jamal PoguesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02
W · KO · R2
Alan BaudotKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
L · KO · R3
Don'Tale MayesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12