METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
Edmonton, Canada
9 Sept 2017
Women's Bantamweight
VS
38%
Moras
62%
Evans-Smith
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:51
★ Official Result
Sarah MoraswinsSubmissionR1 · 2:51
def. Ashlee Evans-Smith · UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Evans-Smith
→
Actual result
Moras wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Evans-Smith holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Moras has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Evans-Smith throws more volume but Moras connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Moras's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Evans-Smith has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MorasEvans-Smith
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Moras
Evans-Smith
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
67"
Reach
67"
38+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Moras
Evans-Smith
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.7
26.0
39.1
Performance Avg
33.3
43
Quality of Victory
33
45
Momentum Score
26
Moras
Evans-Smith
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
1.4
35%
Strike Accuracy
33%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
1
0
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch2
3Ground1
Moras
Evans-Smith
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Moras
Evans-Smith
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
68
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/14 fights
Chin rating based on
9/12 fights
Moras
Evans-Smith
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
26
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Moras
Evans-Smith
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Moras
Evans-Smith
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
MorasEvans-Smith
Strike Zones
Moras
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedEvans-Smith
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Moras targets the head (67% of attacks) — Evans-Smith absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Evans-Smith targets the body (67% of attacks) — Moras absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Moras
RND
Evans-Smith
0/0R00/0
Moras · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Evans-Smith · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Moras · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Vanessa MeloRating 5.5Decision
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W · KO · R3
Liana JojuaRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
L · KO · R2
Macy ChiassonRating 4.1KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Talita BernardoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
Evans-Smith · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ailin PerezRating 6.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Norma DumontRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark · 2020-11
L · Dec · R3
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UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Bec RawlingsRating 4.5Decision
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
L · Sub · R1
Sarah MorasRating 1.5Submission
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09