UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar
Moscow, Russia
9 Nov 2019
Lightweight
VS
28%
Yakovlev
72%
Roberts
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AY
CFR 15
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Roberts
Roberts is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Roberts throws more volume but Yakovlev connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Yakovlev's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Roberts has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Yakovlev
Roberts
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'2"
74"+
Reach
73"
41
Age
+32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Yakovlev
Roberts
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.4
39.9
40.2
Performance Avg
40.8
45
Quality of Victory
38
36
Momentum Score
53
Yakovlev
Roberts
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.0
50%
Strike Accuracy
42%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
10
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance10
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Yakovlev
Roberts
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Yakovlev
Roberts
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
50
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/34 fights
Chin rating based on
10/18 fights
Yakovlev
Roberts
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
36
53
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
Upcoming
L · Sub · R1
Yakovlev
Roberts
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Yakovlev
Roberts
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
YakovlevRoberts
Strike Zones
Yakovlev
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedRoberts
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Yakovlev targets the head (60% of attacks) — Roberts absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Roberts targets the head (100% of attacks) — Yakovlev absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Yakovlev
RND
Roberts
0/0R00/0
Yakovlev · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Roberts · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Yakovlev · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Joel AlvarezRating 2.8Submission
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
L · Dec · R3
Roosevelt RobertsRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
W · Sub · R2
Alex Da SilvaRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04
L · Sub · R2
Zak CummingsRating 3.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
L · Dec · R3
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.6Decision
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko · 2016-07
Roberts · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ludovit KleinRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
L · Sub · R1
Mateusz RebeckiRating 2.1Submission
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
L · KO · R3
Ignacio BahamondesRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum · 2021-08
Upcoming
Kevin CroomUFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
L · Sub · R1
Jim MillerRating 1.9Submission
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