METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt
Las Vegas, USA
29 May 2016
Welterweight
VS
37%
Saffiedine
63%
Story
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Rick StorywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Tarec Saffiedine · UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Story
→
Actual result
Story wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Story holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Saffiedine has real paths to victory.
Risk flags
Story has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SaffiedineStory
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Saffiedine
Story
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
70"
Reach
+71"
40+
Age
42
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Saffiedine
Story
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
10.1
17.0
28.3
Performance Avg
46.0
25
Quality of Victory
35
25
Momentum Score
65
Saffiedine
Story
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
1.0
Style: Pressure
4.2
8.7
Style: Volume
6.6
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
11
1
Body
11
4
Leg
7
RangeRange
10Distance15
5Clinch14
0Ground0
Saffiedine
Story
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Saffiedine
Story
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
56
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/23 fights
Chin rating based on
19/28 fights
Saffiedine
Story
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
65
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Saffiedine
Story
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Saffiedine
Story
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
SaffiedineStory
Strike Zones
Saffiedine
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedStory
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Saffiedine targets the head (67% of attacks) — Story absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Story targets the head (38% of attacks) — Saffiedine absorbs 38% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Saffiedine
RND
Story
0/0R00/0
Saffiedine · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rafael Dos AnjosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Dong Hyun KimDecision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Rick StoryDecision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · Dec · R3
Jake EllenbergerDecision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
L · KO · R3
Rory MacDonaldKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10
Story · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Donald CerroneKO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
Tarec SaffiedineDecision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · Dec · R5
Gunnar NelsonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
W · Sub · R2
Leonardo MafraSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumDecision
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · 2014-03