UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2
Las Vegas, USA
10 Aug 2024
Women's Bantamweight
VS
61%
Rosa
39%
Kianzad
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Karol
Karol Rosa
19 – 7
5'5"67" reachOrthodox31 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 49
Pannie
Pannie Kianzad
"Banzai"
17 – 9
Well-Rounded3-fight slide34 yrsOrthodox66" reach5'7"
CFR 32

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Rosa

Rosa holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Kianzad has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Kianzad throws more volume but Rosa connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Kianzad has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Rosa
Kianzad
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'7"
67"+
Reach
66"
31+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rosa
Kianzad
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.8
31.7
41.7
Performance Avg
33.2
25
Quality of Victory
25
80
Momentum Score
45
Rosa
Kianzad
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
2.0
57%
Strike Accuracy
50%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
5
5
Body
2
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
9Distance4
13Clinch5
1Ground0
Rosa
Kianzad
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rosa
Kianzad
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
68
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/26 fights
Chin rating based on
11/26 fights
Rosa
Kianzad
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
45
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Rosa
Kianzad
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rosa
Kianzad
Striking1.3 / 0.9Volume9.3 / 8.9Grappling2.4 / 2.4Wrestling1.7 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure2.0 / 1.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.4
9.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.9
Rosa
Strike Zones
Kianzad
Rosa
Attacking
16HEAD5BODY2LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD2BODY2LEGS9 absorbed
Kianzad
Attacking
5HEAD2BODY2LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD5BODY2LEGS23 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rosa targets the head (70% of attacks) — Kianzad absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Kianzad targets the head (56% of attacks) — Rosa absorbs 56% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rosa
RND
Kianzad
0/0R00/0

Rosa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W4.5W5.9W4.5W5.5L4.5W6.0L4.6W6.3L4.5W6.5L5.2W2019-082021-102023-042024-082025-08
WinLossTrend

Kianzad · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0104.1L6.3L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W6.1L4.5W5.9L2.8L6.2L2018-112020-072021-092024-032024-08
WinLossTrend

Rosa · Last 5

Upcoming
Luana Santos
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Nora CornolleRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Ailin PerezRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Pannie KianzadRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Irene AldanaRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12

Kianzad · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Karol RosaRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
L · Sub · R1
Macy ChiassonRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Ketlen VieiraRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Lina LansbergRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Raquel PenningtonRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09

News & Media

Karol Rosa · Pannie Kianzad
← Back to fights