UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz
Boston, USA
17 Jan 2016
Welterweight
VS
51%
Cote
49%
Saunders
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:14
PC
Patrick Cote
"The Predator"
23 – 11
5'11"75" reachOrthodox46 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 16
BS
Ben Saunders
"Killa B"
22 – 13
Well-Rounded4-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'2"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Cote

This is a genuine toss-up — Cote at 51% vs Saunders at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Saunders has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Cote's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Saunders has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Cote
Saunders
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'2"
75"
Reach
+77"
46
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cote
Saunders
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.1
15.6
41.8
Performance Avg
46.4
38
Quality of Victory
46
79
Momentum Score
50
Cote
Saunders
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.5
49%
Strike Accuracy
55%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
4 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
2
2
Body
4
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance4
9Clinch2
6Ground0
Cote
Saunders
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cote
Saunders
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
0
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
7
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.9 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/34 fights
Chin rating based on
19/35 fights
Cote
Saunders
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
50
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Cote
Saunders
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
67%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
3
6
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cote
Saunders
Striking5.0 / 4.3Volume5.0 / 3.6Grappling1.2 / 3.5Wrestling0.8 / 2.4Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure4.2 / 6.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
Cote
Strike Zones
Saunders
Cote
Attacking
19HEAD2BODY1LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD4BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Saunders
Attacking
2HEAD4BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD2BODY1LEGS22 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cote targets the head (86% of attacks) — Saunders absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Saunders targets the body (67% of attacks) — Cote absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cote
RND
Saunders
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Cote · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L4.0L5.5L1.5L4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W2.8L2.8L5.5L5.5L4.0W4.5W4.5W6.1L4.5W5.5W5.2W4.0L5.5L2004-102008-012012-112016-012017-04
WinLossTrend

Saunders · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0104.5W5.2W5.0W2.8L5.0W5.5L5.5L5.0W5.0W4.5W2.8L4.7W2.8L2.8L5.0W2.8L1.5L2.9L3.1L2007-122010-032016-012018-092019-12
WinLossTrend

Cote · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Thiago AlvesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
L · KO · R3
Donald CerroneRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
W · KO · R2
Ben SaundersRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01
W · KO · R3
Joshua BurkmanRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
W · Dec · R3
Joe RiggsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04

Saunders · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Matt BrownRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
L · KO · R2
Takashi SatoRating 2.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
L · KO · R1
Lyman GoodRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
L · Sub · R2
Sergio MoraesRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
W · KO · R1
Jake EllenbergerRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06

News & Media

Patrick Cote · Ben Saunders
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