UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2
Sydney, Australia
31 Jan 2026
Lightweight
VS
42%
Hooker
58%
Denis
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:45
Dan
Dan Hooker
"The Hangman"
24 – 14
6'0"75" reachSwitch36 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 52
Benoit
Benoit Saint Denis
"God of War"
17 – 3
Knockout Artist4-fight win streak30 yrsSouthpaw73" reach5'11"
CFR 71

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Denis

This is a genuine toss-up — Hooker at 42% vs Denis at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Denis has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Hooker's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Hooker
Denis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
75"+
Reach
73"
36
Age
+30
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Hooker
Denis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.3
70.9
50.3
Performance Avg
62.5
45
Quality of Victory
54
78
Momentum Score
91
Hooker
Denis
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
2.7
49%
Strike Accuracy
60%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.1
7 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
59
0
Body
3
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance4
0Clinch2
0Ground56
Hooker
Denis
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.6
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hooker
Denis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/38 fights
Chin rating based on
13/20 fights
Hooker
Denis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
91
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
Hooker
Denis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
100%
7
KO / TKO Wins
5
2
Submission Wins
4
5
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hooker
Denis
Striking6.2 / 7.1Volume4.0 / 1.5Grappling2.0 / 3.6Wrestling1.4 / 2.5Submission1.4 / 4.4Pressure6.3 / 9.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.1
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.4
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.3
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.5
Hooker
Strike Zones
Denis
Hooker
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
59HEAD3BODY0LEGS62 absorbed
Denis
Attacking
59HEAD3BODY0LEGS62 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hooker targets the head (75% of attacks) — Denis absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Denis targets the head (95% of attacks) — Hooker absorbs 95% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hooker
RND
Denis
0/0R00/0

Hooker · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W5.5L5.2W7.1L5.0W5.5L5.2W5.6W5.4W5.2W4.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W6.8L2.3L5.2W3.5L2.9L6.1W5.7W5.6W3.8L4.5L2014-062017-062019-102022-032026-01
WinLossTrend

Denis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0106.0L5.2W5.7W5.4W5.5W5.2W3.4L5.1L5.2W6.9W6.0W6.1W2021-102023-072024-032025-092026-01
WinLossTrend

Hooker · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Benoit Saint DenisRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · Sub · R2
Arman TsarukyanRating 3.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Mateusz GamrotRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Jalin TurnerRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
W · KO · R2
Claudio PuellesRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11

Denis · Last 5

Upcoming
Paddy Pimblett
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · KO · R2
Dan HookerRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Beneil DariushRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Sub · R2
Mauricio RuffyRating 6.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Sub · R2
Kyle PrepolecRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05

News & Media

Dan Hooker · Benoit Saint Denis
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