UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till
Las Vegas, USA
4 Sept 2021
Middleweight
VS
41%
Lungiambula
59%
Barriault
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Barriault
This is a genuine toss-up — Lungiambula at 41% vs Barriault at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Barriault has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Lungiambula's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Barriault has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Lungiambula
Barriault
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'1"
76"+
Reach
74"
38
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lungiambula
Barriault
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.1
35.6
33.9
Performance Avg
41.9
38
Quality of Victory
45
30
Momentum Score
13
Lungiambula
Barriault
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
2.5
47%
Strike Accuracy
50%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
34
Head
52
9
Body
8
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
30Distance45
13Clinch20
0Ground0
Lungiambula
Barriault
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lungiambula
Barriault
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
10
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
18/28 fights
Lungiambula
Barriault
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
13
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Lungiambula
Barriault
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lungiambula
Barriault
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
LungiambulaBarriault
Strike Zones
Lungiambula
Attacking
43 landedAbsorbing
65 absorbedBarriault
Attacking
65 landedAbsorbing
43 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lungiambula targets the head (79% of attacks) — Barriault absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Barriault targets the head (80% of attacks) — Lungiambula absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lungiambula
RND
Barriault
0/0R00/0
Lungiambula · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Barriault · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Lungiambula · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
L · KO · R2
Punahele SorianoRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · Sub · R1
Cody BrundageRating 2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
L · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · 2021-09
W · Dec · R3
Markus PerezRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
Barriault · Last 5
Upcoming
Brad TavaresUFC Fight Night · 2026-07
L · Dec · R3
Michal OleksiejczukRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Shara MagomedovRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · KO · R1
Bruno SilvaRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · KO · R1
Dustin StoltzfusRating 1.5KO/TKO
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