UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez
Memphis, USA
12 Dec 2009
Middleweight
VS
90%
Palhares
10%
Linhares
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:21
RP
Rousimar Palhares
"Toquinho"
19 – 8
5'8"71" reachOrthodox46 yrsSubmission Hunter
CFR 22
LL
Lucio Linhares
19 – 8
Well-Rounded2-fight slide52 yrsOrthodox6'2"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Palhares

Palhares is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Palhares has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 46 points.

Palhares has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Palhares's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Palhares
Linhares
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'2"
71"
Reach
46+
Age
52
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Palhares
Linhares
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.7
2.4
54.0
Performance Avg
0.0
46
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Palhares
Linhares
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.7
47%
Strike Accuracy
28%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
8
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground8
Palhares
Linhares
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.6
Sub Attempts / fight
—
6.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
4.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Palhares
Linhares
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
86
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/27 fights
Chin rating based on
2/27 fights
Palhares
Linhares
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · R2
L · Sub · R2
Palhares
Linhares
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
6
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Palhares
Linhares
Striking1.3 / 0.0Volume3.3 / 0.0Grappling6.6 / 0.0Wrestling4.6 / 0.0Submission7.5 / 0.0Pressure7.3 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
6.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
4.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
7.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Palhares
Strike Zones
Linhares
Palhares
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD0BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Linhares
Attacking
8HEAD0BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Linhares targets the head (100% of attacks) — Palhares absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Palhares
RND
Linhares
0/0R00/0

Palhares · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.0W5.5L4.5W5.2W5.0W1.5L5.2W4.5W5.0W1.5L1.5L5.0W2008-052009-122011-032012-052013-10
WinLossTrend

Linhares · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0102.8L4.8L2009-122010-03
WinLossTrend

Palhares · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Mike PierceRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
L · KO · R1
Hector LombardRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12
L · KO · R1
Alan BelcherRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · Sub · R1
Mike MassenzioRating 5
Submission
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes · 2012-01
W · Dec · R3
Dan MillerRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08

Linhares · Last 2

L · R2
Yushin OkamiRating 4.8
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi · 2010-03
L · Sub · R2
Rousimar PalharesRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez · 2009-12

News & Media

Rousimar Palhares · Lucio Linhares
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