METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez
Memphis, USA
12 Dec 2009
Middleweight
VS
90%
Palhares
10%
Linhares
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:21
★ Official Result
Rousimar PalhareswinsSubmissionR2 · 3:21
def. Lucio Linhares · UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Palhares
→
Actual result
Palhares wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Palhares is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Palhares has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 46 points.
Palhares has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Palhares's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PalharesLinhares
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Palhares
Linhares
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'2"
71"
Reach
46+
Age
52
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Palhares
Linhares
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.7
2.4
54.0
Performance Avg
0.0
46
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Palhares
Linhares
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
0.7
47%
Strike Accuracy
28%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
8
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground8
Palhares
Linhares
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.6
Sub Attempts / fight
—
6.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
4.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Palhares
Linhares
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
86
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/27 fights
Chin rating based on
2/27 fights
Palhares
Linhares
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · R2
L · Sub · R2
Palhares
Linhares
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
6
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Palhares
Linhares
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
6.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
4.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
7.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
PalharesLinhares
Strike Zones
Palhares
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedLinhares
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Linhares targets the head (100% of attacks) — Palhares absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Palhares
RND
Linhares
0/0R00/0
Palhares · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Linhares · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Palhares · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Mike PierceRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
L · KO · R1
Hector LombardRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12
L · KO · R1
Alan BelcherRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · Sub · R1
Mike MassenzioRating 5Submission
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes · 2012-01
W · Dec · R3
Dan MillerRating 4.5Decision
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08
Linhares · Last 2
L · R2
Yushin OkamiRating 4.8UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi · 2010-03
L · Sub · R2
Rousimar PalharesRating 2.8Submission
UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez · 2009-12