METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez
Memphis, USA
12 Dec 2009
Middleweight
VS
90%
Palhares
10%
Linhares
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:21
★ Official Result
Rousimar PalhareswinsSubmissionR2 · 3:21
def. Lucio Linhares · UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Palhares
→
Actual result
Palhares wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Palhares is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Palhares has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 46 points.
Risk flags
Palhares's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PalharesLinhares
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Palhares
Linhares
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'2"
71"
Reach
46+
Age
52
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Palhares
Linhares
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.7
2.4
54.0
Performance Avg
0.0
46
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Palhares
Linhares
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
7.3
Style: Pressure
0.0
3.3
Style: Volume
0.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
8
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground8
Palhares
Linhares
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
7.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
6
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Palhares
Linhares
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
86
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/27 fights
Chin rating based on
2/27 fights
Palhares
Linhares
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · R2
L · Sub · R2
Palhares
Linhares
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
6
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Palhares
Linhares
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
6.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
4.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
7.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
PalharesLinhares
Strike Zones
Palhares
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedLinhares
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Linhares targets the head (100% of attacks) — Palhares absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Palhares
RND
Linhares
0/0R00/0
Palhares · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Mike PierceSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
L · KO · R1
Hector LombardKO/TKO
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12
L · KO · R1
Alan BelcherKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · Sub · R1
Mike MassenzioSubmission
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes · 2012-01
W · Dec · R3
Dan MillerDecision
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08
Linhares · Last 2
L · R2
Yushin OkamiUFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi · 2010-03
L · Sub · R2
Rousimar PalharesSubmission
UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez · 2009-12