METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd
Sacramento, USA
13 Jul 2019
Middleweight
VS
45%
Roberson
55%
Turman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Karl RobersonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Wellington Turman · UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Turman
→
Actual result
Roberson wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Roberson at 45% vs Turman at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Roberson's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Turman has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RobersonTurman
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Roberson
Turman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
74"+
Reach
72"
35
Age
+30
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Roberson
Turman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.7
22.5
38.3
Performance Avg
33.2
37
Quality of Victory
33
25
Momentum Score
15
Roberson
Turman
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
4.7
Style: Pressure
3.3
4.8
Style: Volume
6.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
7
3
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance2
1Clinch0
6Ground6
Roberson
Turman
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Roberson
Turman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
38
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
4
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/15 fights
Chin rating based on
9/26 fights
Roberson
Turman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
15
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Roberson
Turman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Roberson
Turman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
RobersonTurman
Strike Zones
Roberson
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTurman
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Roberson targets the head (50% of attacks) — Turman absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Turman targets the head (88% of attacks) — Roberson absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Roberson
RND
Turman
0/0R00/0
Roberson · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Kennedy NzechukwuKO/TKO
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L · KO · R2
Khalil Rountree Jr.KO/TKO
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L · Sub · R1
Brendan AllenSubmission
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · Sub · R1
Marvin VettoriSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06
W · Sub · R3
Roman KopylovSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
Turman · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Jared GoodenSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownDecision
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L · Dec · R3
Andre PetroskiDecision
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
W · Sub · R2
Misha CirkunovSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyDecision
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