UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd
Sacramento, USA
13 Jul 2019
Middleweight
VS
41%
Roberson
59%
Turman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Turman
This is a genuine toss-up — Roberson at 41% vs Turman at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Roberson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Roberson's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Turman has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Roberson
Turman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
74"+
Reach
72"
35
Age
+29
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Roberson
Turman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.7
27.0
38.3
Performance Avg
33.2
37
Quality of Victory
33
25
Momentum Score
15
Roberson
Turman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.2
55%
Strike Accuracy
52%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
7
3
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance2
1Clinch0
6Ground6
Roberson
Turman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Roberson
Turman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
38
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
4
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/15 fights
Chin rating based on
9/26 fights
Roberson
Turman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
15
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Roberson
Turman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Roberson
Turman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
RobersonTurman
Strike Zones
Roberson
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTurman
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Roberson targets the head (50% of attacks) — Turman absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Turman targets the head (88% of attacks) — Roberson absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Roberson
RND
Turman
0/0R00/0
Roberson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Turman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Roberson · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Kennedy NzechukwuRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
L · KO · R2
Khalil Rountree Jr.Rating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
L · Sub · R1
Brendan AllenRating 2.8Submission
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · Sub · R1
Marvin VettoriRating 2.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06
W · Sub · R3
Roman KopylovRating 6.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
Turman · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Jared GoodenRating 3.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 6.4Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Andre PetroskiRating 6Decision
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
W · Sub · R2
Misha CirkunovRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 4.5Decision
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