METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann
Nashville, USA
1 Apr 2009
Light Heavyweight
VS
68%
Bader
32%
Marrero
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Ryan BaderwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Carmelo Marrero · UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Bader
→
Actual result
Bader wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Bader holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Marrero has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Bader has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Risk flags
Bader's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BaderMarrero
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Bader
Marrero
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
74"+
Reach
73"
43+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bader
Marrero
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.1
9.3
54.2
Performance Avg
25.0
40
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
22
Bader
Marrero
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.8
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
0.8
6.3
Style: Volume
8.5
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
1
1
Body
0
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance3
1Clinch0
4Ground0
Bader
Marrero
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Bader
Marrero
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
74
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/28 fights
Chin rating based on
4/22 fights
Bader
Marrero
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
22
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Bader
Marrero
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bader
Marrero
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
BaderMarrero
Strike Zones
Bader
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedMarrero
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bader targets the head (67% of attacks) — Marrero absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Marrero targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Bader absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bader
RND
Marrero
0/0R00/0
Bader · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Rogerio NogueiraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
W · KO · R2
Ilir LatifiKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09
L · KO · R1
Anthony JohnsonKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
W · Dec · R3
Rashad EvansDecision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
W · Dec · R3
Phil DavisDecision
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01
Marrero · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderDecision
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann · 2009-04
L · Sub · R1
Wilson GouveiaSubmission
UFC 71: Liddell vs Jackson · 2007-05
L · Sub · R1
Gabriel GonzagaSubmission
UFC 66: Liddell vs Ortiz 2 · 2006-12
W · Dec · R3
Cheick KongoDecision
UFC 64: Unstoppable · 2006-10