★ Championship Bout · Middleweight
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier
Las Vegas, USA
2 Jul 2022
Middleweight
VS
54%
Adesanya
46%
Cannonier
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Israel
Israel Adesanya
"The Last Stylebender"
24 – 6
6'4"80" reachSwitch36 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 63
Jared
Jared Cannonier
"The Killa Gorilla"
18 – 9
Striker42 yrsSwitch77" reach5'11"
CFR 54

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Adesanya

This is a genuine toss-up — Adesanya at 54% vs Cannonier at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Adesanya has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Cannonier has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Adesanya's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Cannonier has a chin rating of 22 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Adesanya
Cannonier
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
5'11"
80"+
Reach
77"
36+
Age
42
Switch
Stance
Switch
Adesanya
Cannonier
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.4
54.3
61.2
Performance Avg
49.3
56
Quality of Victory
46
100
Momentum Score
82
Adesanya
Cannonier
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.3
52%
Strike Accuracy
56%
5.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.5
5 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
14
2
Body
5
6
Leg
1
RangeRange
23Distance18
2Clinch2
0Ground0
Adesanya
Cannonier
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.5
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Adesanya
Cannonier
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
22
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/30 fights
Chin rating based on
20/27 fights
Adesanya
Cannonier
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
82
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R5
Adesanya
Cannonier
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
64%
5
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Adesanya
Cannonier
Striking5.2 / 7.5Volume6.3 / 4.0Grappling1.5 / 0.9Wrestling1.0 / 0.6Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.7 / 6.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.5
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.9
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
Adesanya
Strike Zones
Cannonier
Adesanya
Attacking
17HEAD2BODY6LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD5BODY1LEGS20 absorbed
Cannonier
Attacking
14HEAD5BODY1LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD2BODY6LEGS25 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Adesanya targets the head (68% of attacks) — Cannonier absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Cannonier targets the head (70% of attacks) — Adesanya absorbs 70% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Adesanya
RND
Cannonier
0/0R00/0

Adesanya · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.2W5.3W4.5W5.3W4.5W4.8W6.0W4.5W6.1W6.1L5.3W5.4W5.5W6.1L7.2W6.6L5.3L3.6L4.2L2018-022019-042021-062023-092026-03
WinLossTrend

Cannonier · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0101.5L5.0W4.8W5.9L5.5W6.1L2.5L5.2W5.0W6.1W6.4L4.8W5.5W6.9L5.6W5.3W4.8L6.9L7.0W6.3L2015-012017-122020-102023-062025-08
WinLossTrend

Adesanya · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Joe PyferRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R2
Nassourdine ImavovRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · Sub · R4
Dricus Du PlessisRating 5.3
Submission
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
W · KO · R2
Alex PereiraRating 7.2
KO/TKO
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04

Cannonier · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Michael PageRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · KO · R4
Gregory RodriguesRating 7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R5
Caio BorralhoRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
L · KO · R4
Nassourdine ImavovRating 4.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R5
Marvin VettoriRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06

News & Media

Israel Adesanya · Jared Cannonier
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