METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Middleweight
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier
Las Vegas, USA
2 Jul 2022
Middleweight
VS
54%
Adesanya
46%
Cannonier
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Israel AdesanyawinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Jared Cannonier · UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Adesanya
→
Actual result
Adesanya wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Adesanya at 54% vs Cannonier at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Adesanya has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Cannonier has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Adesanya's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Cannonier has a chin rating of 22 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AdesanyaCannonier
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Adesanya
Cannonier
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
5'11"
80"+
Reach
77"
36+
Age
42
Switch
Stance
Switch
Adesanya
Cannonier
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.4
54.3
61.2
Performance Avg
49.3
56
Quality of Victory
46
100
Momentum Score
82
Adesanya
Cannonier
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
1.3
52%
Strike Accuracy
56%
5.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.5
5 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
14
2
Body
5
6
Leg
1
RangeRange
23Distance18
2Clinch2
0Ground0
Adesanya
Cannonier
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Adesanya
Cannonier
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
22
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/30 fights
Chin rating based on
20/27 fights
Adesanya
Cannonier
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
82
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R5
Adesanya
Cannonier
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
64%
5
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Adesanya
Cannonier
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.5
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.9
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
AdesanyaCannonier
Strike Zones
Adesanya
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedCannonier
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Adesanya targets the head (68% of attacks) — Cannonier absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Cannonier targets the head (70% of attacks) — Adesanya absorbs 70% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Adesanya
RND
Cannonier
0/0R00/0
Adesanya · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Cannonier · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Adesanya · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Joe PyferRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R2
Nassourdine ImavovRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · Sub · R4
Dricus Du PlessisRating 5.3Submission
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandRating 6.6Decision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
W · KO · R2
Alex PereiraRating 7.2KO/TKO
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
Cannonier · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Michael PageRating 6.3Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · KO · R4
Gregory RodriguesRating 7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R5
Caio BorralhoRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
L · KO · R4
Nassourdine ImavovRating 4.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R5
Marvin VettoriRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06