METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Middleweight
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier
Las Vegas, USA
2 Jul 2022
Middleweight
VS
54%
Adesanya
46%
Cannonier
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Israel AdesanyawinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Jared Cannonier · UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Adesanya
→
Actual result
Adesanya wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Adesanya at 54% vs Cannonier at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Adesanya has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Adesanya's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Cannonier has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AdesanyaCannonier
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Adesanya
Cannonier
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
5'11"
80"+
Reach
77"
37+
Age
42
Switch
Stance
Switch
Adesanya
Cannonier
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.4
53.5
61.2
Performance Avg
48.2
56
Quality of Victory
46
100
Momentum Score
82
Adesanya
Cannonier
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
7.4
/ 10
4.7
Style: Pressure
6.0
6.3
Style: Volume
4.0
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
14
2
Body
5
6
Leg
1
RangeRange
23Distance18
2Clinch2
0Ground0
Adesanya
Cannonier
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Adesanya
Cannonier
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
20
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/30 fights
Chin rating based on
21/27 fights
Adesanya
Cannonier
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
82
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R4
Adesanya
Cannonier
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
64%
5
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Adesanya
Cannonier
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.4
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.9
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
AdesanyaCannonier
Strike Zones
Adesanya
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedCannonier
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Adesanya targets the head (68% of attacks) — Cannonier absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Cannonier targets the head (70% of attacks) — Adesanya absorbs 70% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Adesanya
RND
Cannonier
0/0R00/0
Adesanya · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Joe PyferKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R2
Nassourdine ImavovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · Sub · R4
Dricus Du PlessisSubmission
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandDecision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
W · KO · R2
Alex PereiraKO/TKO
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
Cannonier · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Christian Leroy DuncanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · 2026-07
L · Dec · R3
Michael PageDecision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · KO · R4
Gregory RodriguesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R5
Caio BorralhoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
L · KO · R4
Nassourdine ImavovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06