UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot
Minneapolis, USA
5 Oct 2012
Lightweight
VS
55%
Volkmann
45%
Roller
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:38
JV
Jacob Volkmann
"Christmas"
19 – 7
5'9"71" reachSouthpaw45 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 16
SR
Shane Roller
11 – 7
Well-Rounded46 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'10"
CFR 13

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Volkmann

This is a genuine toss-up — Volkmann at 55% vs Roller at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Roller has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Roller has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Volkmann's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Roller has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Volkmann
Roller
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
+72"
45+
Age
46
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Volkmann
Roller
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.1
13.2
41.9
Performance Avg
37.3
30
Quality of Victory
40
70
Momentum Score
28
Volkmann
Roller
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
0.8
37%
Strike Accuracy
41%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
0
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance0
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Volkmann
Roller
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Volkmann
Roller
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
52
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/26 fights
Chin rating based on
6/18 fights
Volkmann
Roller
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
70
28
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
Volkmann
Roller
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
17%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Volkmann
Roller
Striking1.2 / 5.7Volume7.9 / 4.7Grappling3.3 / 1.2Wrestling2.3 / 0.8Submission1.7 / 0.0Pressure3.0 / 4.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
Volkmann
Strike Zones
Roller
Volkmann
Attacking
6HEAD2BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Roller
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD2BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Volkmann targets the head (75% of attacks) — Roller absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Volkmann
RND
Roller
0/0R00/0

Volkmann · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.5L1.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W1.5L5.0W4.7L2009-112010-082011-122013-02
WinLossTrend

Roller · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.7
0105.2W1.5L4.0L5.6L4.5W1.5L2011-032011-072011-102012-012012-072012-10
WinLossTrend

Volkmann · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
King GreenRating 4.7
Submission
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02
W · Sub · R1
Shane RollerRating 5
Submission
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
L · Sub · R1
Paul SassRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir · 2012-05
W · Dec · R3
Efrain EscuderoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12
W · Dec · R3
Danny CastilloRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08

Roller · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Jacob VolkmannRating 1.5
Submission
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
W · Dec · R3
John AlessioRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
L · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonRating 5.6
Decision
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis · 2012-01
L · Sub · R3
TJ GrantRating 4
Submission
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10
L · KO · R1
Melvin GuillardRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07

News & Media

Jacob Volkmann · Shane Roller
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