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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot
Minneapolis, USA
5 Oct 2012
Lightweight
VS
55%
Volkmann
45%
Roller
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:38
JV
Jacob Volkmann
"Christmas"
197
5'9"71" reachSouthpaw46 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 16
SR
Shane Roller
117
Well-Rounded47 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'10"
CFR 13
★ Official Result
Jacob VolkmannwinsSubmissionR1 · 2:38
def. Shane Roller · UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Volkmann
Actual result
Volkmann wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Volkmann at 55% vs Roller at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Roller has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Risk flags

Volkmann's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Roller has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
VolkmannRoller
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Volkmann
Roller
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
+72"
46+
Age
47
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Volkmann
Roller
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.1
13.2
41.9
Performance Avg
37.3
30
Quality of Victory
40
70
Momentum Score
28
Volkmann
Roller
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
5.7
/ 10
3.0
Style: Pressure
4.5
7.9
Style: Volume
4.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
0
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance0
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Volkmann
Roller
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Volkmann
Roller
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
52
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
2
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
10/26 fights
Chin rating based on
6/18 fights
Volkmann
Roller
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
70
28
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
Volkmann
Roller
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
17%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Volkmann
Roller
Striking1.2 / 5.7Volume7.9 / 4.7Grappling3.3 / 1.2Wrestling2.3 / 0.8Submission1.7 / 0.0Pressure3.0 / 4.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
Volkmann
Strike Zones
Roller
Volkmann
Attacking
6HEAD2BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Roller
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD2BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Volkmann targets the head (75% of attacks) — Roller absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Volkmann
RND
Roller
0/0R00/0

Volkmann · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
King Green
Submission
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02
W · Sub · R1
Shane Roller
Submission
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
L · Sub · R1
Paul Sass
Submission
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir · 2012-05
W · Dec · R3
Efrain Escudero
Decision
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12
W · Dec · R3
Danny Castillo
Decision
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08

Roller · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Jacob Volkmann
Submission
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
W · Dec · R3
John Alessio
Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
L · Dec · R3
Michael Johnson
Decision
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis · 2012-01
L · Sub · R3
TJ Grant
Submission
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10
L · KO · R1
Melvin Guillard
KO/TKO
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07

News & Media

Jacob Volkmann · Shane Roller
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