★ Championship Bout · Road To 1 Bantamweight Tournament
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac
Las Vegas, USA
4 Feb 2023
Road To 1 Bantamweight Tournament
VS
37%
Kazama
63%
Nakamura
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:33
Toshiomi
Toshiomi Kazama
11 – 5
5'7"69" reachOrthodox29 yrsSubmission Hunter
CFR 41
RN
Rinya Nakamura
"Hybred"
10 – 1
Striker31 yrsSouthpaw68" reach5'7"
CFR 70

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Nakamura

Nakamura holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Kazama has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Kazama throws more volume but Nakamura connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Kazama's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Kazama
Nakamura
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
69"+
Reach
68"
29+
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Kazama
Nakamura
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.8
69.9
39.7
Performance Avg
63.5
50
Quality of Victory
53
22
Momentum Score
92
Kazama
Nakamura
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.2
45%
Strike Accuracy
55%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
11
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance10
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Kazama
Nakamura
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
1.0
Sub Attempts / fight
—
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Kazama
Nakamura
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
98
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/16 fights
Chin rating based on
5/11 fights
Kazama
Nakamura
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
22
92
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Kazama
Nakamura
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Kazama
Nakamura
Striking0.5 / 6.6Volume0.5 / 5.6Grappling8.0 / 1.2Wrestling5.6 / 0.8Submission10.0 / 0.0Pressure7.8 / 5.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.6
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
Kazama
Strike Zones
Nakamura
Kazama
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD0BODY0LEGS11 absorbed
Nakamura
Attacking
11HEAD0BODY0LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Kazama targets the head (100% of attacks) — Nakamura absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Nakamura targets the head (100% of attacks) — Kazama absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Kazama
RND
Nakamura
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0

Kazama · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.4
0103.2L1.6L5.2W3.4L2023-022023-082024-082025-08
WinLossTrend

Nakamura · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.3W4.5W5.8W5.5L5.7W2023-022023-082024-022025-012025-08
WinLossTrend

Kazama · Last 4

L · KO · R1
Elijah SmithRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · Sub · R2
Charalampos GrigoriouRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
L · KO · R1
Garrett ArmfieldRating 1.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Rinya NakamuraRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · 2023-02

Nakamura · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Nathan FletcherRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Muin GafurovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Carlos VeraRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
W · Dec · R3
Fernie GarciaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
W · KO · R1
Toshiomi KazamaRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · 2023-02

News & Media

Toshiomi Kazama · Rinya Nakamura
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