METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Road To 1 Bantamweight Tournament
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac
Las Vegas, USA
4 Feb 2023
Road To 1 Bantamweight Tournament
VS
37%
Kazama
63%
Nakamura
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:33
★ Official Result
Rinya NakamurawinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:33
def. Toshiomi Kazama · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Nakamura
→
Actual result
Nakamura wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Nakamura holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Kazama has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Kazama's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
KazamaNakamura
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Kazama
Nakamura
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
69"+
Reach
68"
29+
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Kazama
Nakamura
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.8
69.9
39.7
Performance Avg
63.5
50
Quality of Victory
53
22
Momentum Score
92
Kazama
Nakamura
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
/ 10
6.6
/ 10
7.8
Style: Pressure
5.9
0.5
Style: Volume
5.6
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
11
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance10
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Kazama
Nakamura
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.0
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kazama
Nakamura
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
98
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/16 fights
Chin rating based on
6/11 fights
Kazama
Nakamura
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
22
92
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Kazama
Nakamura
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kazama
Nakamura
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.6
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
KazamaNakamura
Strike Zones
Kazama
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedNakamura
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kazama targets the head (100% of attacks) — Nakamura absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Nakamura targets the head (100% of attacks) — Kazama absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kazama
RND
Nakamura
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Kazama · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Elijah SmithKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · Sub · R2
Charalampos GrigoriouSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
L · KO · R1
Garrett ArmfieldKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Rinya NakamuraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · 2023-02
Nakamura · Last 5
Upcoming
Brady HiestandUFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos · 2026-09
W · KO · R1
Nathan FletcherKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Muin GafurovDecision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Carlos VeraDecision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
W · Dec · R3
Fernie GarciaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08