UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
11 Oct 2025
Heavyweight
VS
63%
Petrino
37%
Petersen
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:26
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Petrino
Petrino holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Petersen has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Petrino has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Petersen has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Petrino's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Petersen has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Petrino
Petersen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
77"+
Reach
74"
28+
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Petrino
Petersen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.7
34.1
55.0
Performance Avg
35.0
40
Quality of Victory
25
71
Momentum Score
40
Petrino
Petersen
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.5
50%
Strike Accuracy
66%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
0
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Petrino
Petersen
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Petrino
Petersen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
54
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/16 fights
Chin rating based on
6/15 fights
Petrino
Petersen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
40
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Petrino
Petersen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Petrino
Petersen
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
PetrinoPetersen
Strike Zones
Petrino
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedPetersen
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Petrino targets the head (100% of attacks) — Petersen absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Petersen targets the body (100% of attacks) — Petrino absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Petrino
RND
Petersen
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Petrino · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Petersen · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Petrino · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Steven AsplundRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · KO · R3
Thomas PetersenRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
W · Sub · R1
Austen LaneRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Dustin JacobyRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Sub · R1
Anthony SmithRating 2.7Submission
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
Petersen · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Guilherme PatRating 4.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · KO · R3
Vitor PetrinoRating 5.1KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Don'Tale MayesRating 4.8Decision
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L · KO · R1
Shamil GazievRating 2.2KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Mohammed UsmanRating 5.5Decision
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