METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
11 Oct 2025
Heavyweight
VS
67%
Petrino
33%
Petersen
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:26
Vitor
Vitor Petrino
142
6'2"77" reachOrthodox29 yrs4-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 59
Thomas
Thomas Petersen
"The Train"
114
Well-Rounded31 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'1"
CFR 30
★ Official Result
Vitor PetrinowinsKO/TKOR3 · 0:26
def. Thomas Petersen · UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Petrino
Actual result
Petrino wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Petrino holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Petersen has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Petrino has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Risk flags

Petrino's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Petersen has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
PetrinoPetersen
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Petrino
Petersen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
77"+
Reach
74"
29+
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Petrino
Petersen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.9
29.5
54.8
Performance Avg
32.1
38
Quality of Victory
25
81
Momentum Score
30
Petrino
Petersen
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
5.9
Style: Pressure
1.3
5.6
Style: Volume
8.9
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
0
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Petrino
Petersen
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Petrino
Petersen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
42
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
10/16 fights
Chin rating based on
7/15 fights
Petrino
Petersen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
30
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Petrino
Petersen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Petrino
Petersen
Striking4.1 / 0.9Volume5.6 / 8.9Grappling3.2 / 2.4Wrestling2.2 / 1.7Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure5.9 / 1.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.3
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.9
Petrino
Strike Zones
Petersen
Petrino
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD2BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Petersen
Attacking
0HEAD2BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Petrino targets the head (100% of attacks) — Petersen absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Petersen targets the body (100% of attacks) — Petrino absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Petrino
RND
Petersen
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Petrino · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Serghei Spivac
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08
W · Dec · R3
Steven Asplund
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · KO · R3
Thomas Petersen
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
W · Sub · R1
Austen Lane
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Dustin Jacoby
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12

Petersen · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Valter Walker
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07
W · Dec · R3
Guilherme Pat
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · KO · R3
Vitor Petrino
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Don'Tale Mayes
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · KO · R1
Shamil Gaziev
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02

News & Media

Vitor Petrino · Thomas Petersen
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