UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller
Atlantic City, USA
16 Jul 2014
Welterweight
VS
68%
Story
32%
Mafra
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:12
RS
Rick Story
"The Horror"
19 – 9
5'9"71" reachSouthpaw41 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 17
LM
Leonardo Mafra
"Macarrao"
13 – 4
Well-Rounded37 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'10"
CFR 8

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Story

Story holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Mafra has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Mafra has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Story's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Mafra has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Story
Mafra
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
71"+
Reach
70"
41
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Story
Mafra
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.0
8.1
46.0
Performance Avg
25.0
35
Quality of Victory
25
65
Momentum Score
17
Story
Mafra
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.4
42%
Strike Accuracy
55%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
2
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance3
0Clinch0
4Ground1
Story
Mafra
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Story
Mafra
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
44
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/28 fights
Chin rating based on
4/17 fights
Story
Mafra
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
17
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R3
Story
Mafra
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Story
Mafra
Striking2.9 / 0.5Volume6.6 / 8.5Grappling2.9 / 2.4Wrestling2.0 / 1.7Submission1.7 / 0.0Pressure4.2 / 0.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
Story
Strike Zones
Mafra
Story
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Mafra
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Story targets the head (100% of attacks) — Mafra absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Mafra targets the head (50% of attacks) — Story absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Story
RND
Mafra
0/0R00/0

Story · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L5.2W4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W1.5L5.0W5.5L4.5W5.8L5.2W5.6W4.5W2.8L2009-062010-122012-102014-072016-08
WinLossTrend

Mafra · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.2
0104.0L2.8L4.5W1.5L2012-062014-072015-032015-07
WinLossTrend

Story · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Donald CerroneRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
Tarec SaffiedineRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · Dec · R5
Gunnar NelsonRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
W · Sub · R2
Leonardo MafraRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · 2014-03

Mafra · Last 4

L · KO · R1
Stevie RayRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites · 2015-07
W · Dec · R3
Cain CarrizosaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare · 2015-03
L · Sub · R2
Rick StoryRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07
L · KO · R3
Thiago PerpetuoRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2 · 2012-06

News & Media

Rick Story · Leonardo Mafra
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