METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller
Atlantic City, USA
16 Jul 2014
Welterweight
VS
68%
Story
32%
Mafra
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:12
★ Official Result
Rick StorywinsSubmissionR2 · 2:12
def. Leonardo Mafra · UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Story
→
Actual result
Story wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Story holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Mafra has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Story's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Mafra has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
StoryMafra
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Story
Mafra
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
71"+
Reach
70"
42
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Story
Mafra
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.0
8.1
46.0
Performance Avg
25.0
35
Quality of Victory
25
65
Momentum Score
17
Story
Mafra
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
4.2
Style: Pressure
0.8
6.6
Style: Volume
8.5
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
2
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance3
0Clinch0
4Ground1
Story
Mafra
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Story
Mafra
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
44
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/28 fights
Chin rating based on
4/17 fights
Story
Mafra
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
17
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R3
Story
Mafra
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Story
Mafra
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
StoryMafra
Strike Zones
Story
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedMafra
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Story targets the head (100% of attacks) — Mafra absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Mafra targets the head (50% of attacks) — Story absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Story
RND
Mafra
0/0R00/0
Story · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Donald CerroneKO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
Tarec SaffiedineDecision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · Dec · R5
Gunnar NelsonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
W · Sub · R2
Leonardo MafraSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumDecision
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · 2014-03
Mafra · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Stevie RayKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites · 2015-07
W · Dec · R3
Cain CarrizosaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare · 2015-03
L · Sub · R2
Rick StorySubmission
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07
L · KO · R3
Thiago PerpetuoKO/TKO
UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2 · 2012-06