METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2
Las Vegas, USA
13 Jan 2024
Bantamweight
VS
46%
Simon
54%
Bautista
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Mario BautistawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Ricky Simon · UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Bautista
→
Actual result
Bautista wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Simon at 46% vs Bautista at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Simon's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Bautista has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SimonBautista
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Simon
Bautista
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'9"
69"
Reach
69"
34
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Simon
Bautista
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.8
56.3
48.0
Performance Avg
54.5
38
Quality of Victory
38
56
Momentum Score
73
Simon
Bautista
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
5.4
Style: Pressure
5.3
5.3
Style: Volume
6.3
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
43
0
Body
13
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
15Distance54
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Simon
Bautista
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
4.1
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.9
3.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
3
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Simon
Bautista
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
64
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
11 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/29 fights
Chin rating based on
15/20 fights
Simon
Bautista
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
73
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Simon
Bautista
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
42%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
4
5
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Simon
Bautista
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.1
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
SimonBautista
Strike Zones
Simon
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
56 absorbedBautista
Attacking
56 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Simon targets the head (93% of attacks) — Bautista absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Bautista targets the head (77% of attacks) — Simon absorbs 77% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Simon
RND
Bautista
0/0R00/0
Simon · Last 5
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