UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov
Vancouver, Canada
14 Jun 2014
Lightweight
VS
49%
Johnson
51%
Bang
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:01
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Bang
This is a genuine toss-up — Johnson at 49% vs Bang at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Bang throws more volume but Johnson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Johnson's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Johnson
Bang
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
75"+
Reach
71"
42+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Johnson
Bang
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.1
16.7
41.6
Performance Avg
38.5
31
Quality of Victory
38
66
Momentum Score
63
Johnson
Bang
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.0
42%
Strike Accuracy
40%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
7
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance8
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Johnson
Bang
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Johnson
Bang
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
84
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/36 fights
Chin rating based on
5/28 fights
Johnson
Bang
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
66
63
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Johnson
Bang
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Johnson
Bang
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
JohnsonBang
Strike Zones
Johnson
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedBang
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Bang absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Bang targets the head (88% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Johnson
RND
Bang
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Johnson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Bang · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Johnson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rustam KhabilovRating 5.5Decision
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Bang · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Nick HeinRating 5.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Mairbek TaisumovRating 5.5Decision
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