UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum
Las Vegas, USA
17 Apr 2021
Middleweight
VS
55%
Alhassan
45%
Malkoun
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Alhassan
This is a genuine toss-up — Alhassan at 55% vs Malkoun at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Alhassan has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.
Striking split: Alhassan throws more volume but Malkoun connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Alhassan's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Alhassan
Malkoun
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
73"
Reach
73"
40
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Alhassan
Malkoun
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.5
54.2
54.0
Performance Avg
44.7
59
Quality of Victory
30
100
Momentum Score
98
Alhassan
Malkoun
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.3
53%
Strike Accuracy
61%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
9
3
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance9
3Clinch2
0Ground0
Alhassan
Malkoun
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Alhassan
Malkoun
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/19 fights
Chin rating based on
9/13 fights
Alhassan
Malkoun
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
98
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · R1
W · Dec · R3
Alhassan
Malkoun
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
17%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Alhassan
Malkoun
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.2
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.0
AlhassanMalkoun
Strike Zones
Alhassan
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedMalkoun
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Alhassan targets the head (57% of attacks) — Malkoun absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Malkoun targets the head (82% of attacks) — Alhassan absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Alhassan
RND
Malkoun
0/0R00/0
Alhassan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Malkoun · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Alhassan · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Cesar AlmeidaRating 2.6KO/TKO
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