★ Championship Bout · Bantamweight
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
Las Vegas, USA
4 Oct 2025
Bantamweight
VS
48%
Dvalishvili
52%
Sandhagen
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Merab
Merab Dvalishvili
"The Machine"
21 – 5
5'6"68" reachOrthodox35 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 60
Cory
Cory Sandhagen
18 – 6
Well-Rounded34 yrsSwitch70" reach5'11"
CFR 64

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Sandhagen

This is a genuine toss-up — Dvalishvili at 48% vs Sandhagen at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Sandhagen has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Striking split: Dvalishvili throws more volume but Sandhagen connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Dvalishvili
Sandhagen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'11"
68"
Reach
+70"
35
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Dvalishvili
Sandhagen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.4
64.2
53.2
Performance Avg
53.8
34
Quality of Victory
44
100
Momentum Score
100
Dvalishvili
Sandhagen
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.3
43%
Strike Accuracy
44%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
12
7
Body
6
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
23Distance18
7Clinch0
4Ground0
Dvalishvili
Sandhagen
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Dvalishvili
Sandhagen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
80
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/26 fights
Chin rating based on
17/24 fights
Dvalishvili
Sandhagen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Dvalishvili
Sandhagen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
55%
1
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
1
12
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Dvalishvili
Sandhagen
Striking2.4 / 5.9Volume8.5 / 4.3Grappling2.6 / 1.6Wrestling1.8 / 1.1Submission0.7 / 0.9Pressure3.5 / 5.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.9
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
Dvalishvili
Strike Zones
Sandhagen
Dvalishvili
Attacking
23HEAD7BODY4LEGS34 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD6BODY0LEGS18 absorbed
Sandhagen
Attacking
12HEAD6BODY0LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD7BODY4LEGS34 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Dvalishvili targets the head (68% of attacks) — Sandhagen absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Sandhagen targets the head (67% of attacks) — Dvalishvili absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Dvalishvili
RND
Sandhagen
0/0R00/0

Dvalishvili · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5L4.7L4.5W4.9W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.2W5.0W6.0W6.0W6.0W5.8W6.8W6.0W7.0L2017-122020-062023-032025-102025-12
WinLossTrend

Sandhagen · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.2W5.2W6.1W4.5W4.5W2.5L5.1W5.0W5.6L7.0L5.7W5.3W5.7W6.8L6.2W6.8L2018-012019-082021-072023-082025-10
WinLossTrend

Dvalishvili · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Petr YanRating 7
Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R5
Cory SandhagenRating 6
Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Sub · R3
Sean O'MalleyRating 6.8
Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Umar NurmagomedovRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Dec · R5
Sean O'MalleyRating 6
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09

Sandhagen · Last 5

Upcoming
Mario Bautista
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · KO · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Dec · R5
Umar NurmagomedovRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
W · Dec · R5
Rob FontRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08

News & Media

Merab Dvalishvili · Cory Sandhagen
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