UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2
Newark, USA
1 Feb 2014
Flyweight
VS
58%
Lineker
42%
Bagautinov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JL
John Lineker
"Hands of Stone"
31 – 9
5'3"67" reachOrthodox35 yrsStriker
CFR 22
AB
Ali Bagautinov
"Puncher"
15 – 6
Well-Rounded40 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'4"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lineker

This is a genuine toss-up — Lineker at 58% vs Bagautinov at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Lineker has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Lineker has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Lineker
Bagautinov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'4"
67"+
Reach
65"
35+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lineker
Bagautinov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.8
15.5
56.0
Performance Avg
41.6
43
Quality of Victory
31
83
Momentum Score
45
Lineker
Bagautinov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.4
0.9
42%
Strike Accuracy
40%
6.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
6 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
9
2
Body
11
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance2
1Clinch6
0Ground12
Lineker
Bagautinov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.7
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lineker
Bagautinov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/40 fights
Chin rating based on
7/21 fights
Lineker
Bagautinov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
83
45
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Lineker
Bagautinov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
25%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lineker
Bagautinov
Striking6.5 / 3.6Volume4.8 / 7.1Grappling1.7 / 1.8Wrestling1.2 / 1.3Submission0.8 / 0.0Pressure6.3 / 3.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
Lineker
Strike Zones
Bagautinov
Lineker
Attacking
0HEAD2BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD11BODY0LEGS20 absorbed
Bagautinov
Attacking
9HEAD11BODY0LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD2BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lineker targets the body (100% of attacks) — Bagautinov absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Bagautinov targets the body (55% of attacks) — Lineker absorbs 55% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lineker
RND
Bagautinov
0/0R00/0

Lineker · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0102.8L4.5W5.2W5.2W5.0W5.5L5.5W4.5W5.0W5.7W5.0W4.5W5.6L5.3W5.8W7.0L2012-052013-102015-092016-122019-04
WinLossTrend

Bagautinov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5W4.6W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W7.0L2013-092014-022015-102016-11
WinLossTrend

Lineker · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Cory SandhagenRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
W · KO · R3
Brian KelleherRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Marlon VeraRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10
L · Dec · R3
TJ DillashawRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
W · Dec · R5
John DodsonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10

Bagautinov · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Kyoji HoriguchiRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
W · Dec · R3
Geane HerreraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
L · Dec · R3
Joseph BenavidezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
L · Dec · R5
Demetrious JohnsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06
W · Dec · R3
John LinekerRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02

News & Media

John Lineker · Ali Bagautinov
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