UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev
Las Vegas, USA
1 Mar 2025
Heavyweight
VS
16%
Lane
84%
Pinto
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:39
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pinto
Pinto is a strong favourite at 84% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 60 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pinto has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Pinto has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Lane's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lane
Pinto
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'6"+
Height
6'5"
80"+
Reach
79"
38
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lane
Pinto
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.4
74.0
21.7
Performance Avg
67.0
25
Quality of Victory
45
0
Momentum Score
100
Lane
Pinto
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.1
49%
Strike Accuracy
78%
0.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
6
6
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
11Distance6
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Lane
Pinto
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lane
Pinto
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
100
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/21 fights
Chin rating based on
3/12 fights
Lane
Pinto
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Lane
Pinto
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lane
Pinto
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
8.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
LanePinto
Strike Zones
Lane
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedPinto
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lane targets the head (50% of attacks) — Pinto absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Pinto targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lane absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lane
RND
Pinto
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Lane · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Pinto · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Lane · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Iwo BaraniewskiRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
L · Sub · R1
Vitor PetrinoRating 2.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · KO · R2
Mario PintoRating 4.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Robelis DespaigneRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
L · KO · R2
Jhonata DinizRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
Pinto · Last 3
W · Dec · R3
Felipe FrancoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · KO · R2
Jhonata DinizRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
W · KO · R2
Austen LaneRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03