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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev
Las Vegas, USA
1 Mar 2025
Heavyweight
VS
16%
Lane
84%
Pinto
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:39
Austen
Austen Lane
138
6'6"80" reachOrthodox38 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 14
Mario
Mario Pinto
120
Knockout Artist4-fight win streak28 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'5"
CFR 76
★ Official Result
Mario PintowinsKO/TKOR2 · 0:39
def. Austen Lane · UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pinto
Actual result
Pinto wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis

Pinto is a strong favourite at 84% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 61 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Pinto has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.

Risk flags

Lane's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
LanePinto
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Lane
Pinto
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'6"+
Height
6'5"
80"+
Reach
79"
38
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lane
Pinto
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.4
75.7
21.7
Performance Avg
68.5
25
Quality of Victory
48
0
Momentum Score
100
Lane
Pinto
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.3
/ 10
9.5
/ 10
0.5
Style: Pressure
8.3
8.3
Style: Volume
4.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
6
6
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
11Distance6
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Lane
Pinto
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lane
Pinto
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
100
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
7/21 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Lane
Pinto
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Lane
Pinto
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lane
Pinto
Striking0.3 / 9.5Volume8.3 / 4.0Grappling2.4 / 0.6Wrestling1.7 / 0.4Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.5 / 8.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.3
8.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
Lane
Strike Zones
Pinto
Lane
Attacking
6HEAD6BODY0LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Pinto
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD6BODY0LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lane targets the head (50% of attacks) — Pinto absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Pinto targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lane absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lane
RND
Pinto
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Lane · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Iwo Baraniewski
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
L · Sub · R1
Vitor Petrino
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · KO · R2
Mario Pinto
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Robelis Despaigne
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
L · KO · R2
Jhonata Diniz
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04

Pinto · Last 4

W · KO · R2
Ryan Spann
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · 2026-09
W · Dec · R3
Felipe Franco
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · KO · R2
Jhonata Diniz
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
W · KO · R2
Austen Lane
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03

News & Media

Austen Lane · Mario Pinto
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