UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm
Las Vegas, USA
30 Dec 2017
Lightweight
VS
37%
Nurmagomedov
63%
Barboza
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
KN
CFR 26
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Barboza
Barboza holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Nurmagomedov has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Barboza throws more volume but Nurmagomedov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Barboza has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Nurmagomedov
Barboza
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
+75"
37+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Nurmagomedov
Barboza
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.9
44.9
68.2
Performance Avg
46.3
47
Quality of Victory
40
100
Momentum Score
60
Nurmagomedov
Barboza
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.3
50%
Strike Accuracy
46%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
2 KOs
KO Finishes
9 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
2
0
Body
2
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
12Distance5
0Clinch1
10Ground0
Nurmagomedov
Barboza
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.0
4.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
2.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Nurmagomedov
Barboza
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
0
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/29 fights
Chin rating based on
32/38 fights
Nurmagomedov
Barboza
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
60
13-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Nurmagomedov
Barboza
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
54%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
9
5
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nurmagomedov
Barboza
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
3.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
NurmagomedovBarboza
Strike Zones
Nurmagomedov
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedBarboza
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nurmagomedov targets the head (91% of attacks) — Barboza absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Barboza targets the head (33% of attacks) — Nurmagomedov absorbs 33% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nurmagomedov
RND
Barboza
0/0R00/0
Nurmagomedov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Barboza · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Nurmagomedov · Last 5
W · Sub · R2
Justin GaethjeRating 6.7Submission
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
W · Sub · R3
Dustin PoirierRating 6.6Submission
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · Sub · R4
Conor McGregorRating 7.3Submission
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
W · Dec · R5
Al IaquintaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
W · Dec · R3
Edson BarbozaRating 5Decision
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm · 2017-12
Barboza · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Jalin TurnerRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Drakkar KloseRating 6.5Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Dec · R5
Lerone MurphyRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
W · Dec · R5
Sodiq YusuffRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
W · KO · R1
Billy QuarantilloRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
