UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill
Las Vegas, USA
6 Aug 2022
Light Heavyweight
VS
35%
Santos
65%
Hill
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 4 · 2:31
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hill
Hill holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Santos has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Hill throws more volume but Santos connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Santos's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hill has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Santos
Hill
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'4"
76"
Reach
+79"
42
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Santos
Hill
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.2
60.4
54.0
Performance Avg
54.2
51
Quality of Victory
50
91
Momentum Score
92
Santos
Hill
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.7
51%
Strike Accuracy
51%
9.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.9
11 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
39
4
Body
0
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
17Distance17
2Clinch5
0Ground18
Santos
Hill
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Santos
Hill
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
32
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/33 fights
Chin rating based on
11/16 fights
Santos
Hill
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
92
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R4
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R4
Santos
Hill
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
79%
67%
11
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Santos
Hill
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.9
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.9
SantosHill
Strike Zones
Santos
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
40 absorbedHill
Attacking
40 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Santos targets the head (63% of attacks) — Hill absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Hill targets the head (98% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 98% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Santos
RND
Hill
0/0R00/0
Santos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Hill · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Santos · Last 5
L · KO · R4
Jamahal HillRating 4.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · Dec · R5
Magomed AnkalaevRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
W · Dec · R5
Johnny WalkerRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicRating 5.6Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · Sub · R3
Glover TeixeiraRating 3.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11
Hill · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Khalil Rountree Jr.Rating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · KO · R3
Jiri ProchazkaRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
L · KO · R1
Alex PereiraRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Dec · R5
Glover TeixeiraRating 4.9Decision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
W · KO · R4
Thiago SantosRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08