UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros
Austin, USA
18 Feb 2018
Featherweight
VS
62%
Peterson
38%
Davis
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Peterson
Peterson holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Davis has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Davis throws more volume but Peterson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Davis has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Peterson
Davis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
70"
Reach
+72"
35+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Peterson
Davis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.4
17.5
36.0
Performance Avg
31.2
35
Quality of Victory
37
25
Momentum Score
15
Peterson
Davis
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.4
40%
Strike Accuracy
36%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
40
0
Body
3
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
27Distance46
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Peterson
Davis
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Peterson
Davis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
90
56
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/30 fights
Chin rating based on
9/24 fights
Peterson
Davis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
15
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Peterson
Davis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Peterson
Davis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
PetersonDavis
Strike Zones
Peterson
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
47 absorbedDavis
Attacking
47 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Peterson targets the head (96% of attacks) — Davis absorbs 96% of strikes there
🎯Davis targets the head (85% of attacks) — Peterson absorbs 85% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Peterson
RND
Davis
0/0R00/0
Peterson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Davis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Peterson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Lucas AlexanderRating 5.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Julian ErosaRating 5.7Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Chase HooperRating 5.3Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
W · KO · R2
Martin BravoRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · 2019-09
L · Dec · R3
Alex CaceresRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · 2019-07
Davis · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Mana MartinezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
L · KO · R1
Batgerel DanaaRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Giga ChikadzeRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier · 2019-09
L · Dec · R3
Kyung Ho KangRating 6.4Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
W · Sub · R2
Randy CostaRating 5.2Submission
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · 2019-04