UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir
Las Vegas, USA
26 May 2012
Heavyweight
VS
47%
Struve
53%
Johnson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:05
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Johnson
This is a genuine toss-up — Struve at 47% vs Johnson at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Johnson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Struve's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Struve
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'11"+
Height
6'4"
84"+
Reach
82"
38+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Struve
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.6
23.3
51.7
Performance Avg
56.0
50
Quality of Victory
60
98
Momentum Score
79
Struve
Johnson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
5.1
52%
Strike Accuracy
64%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
2
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Struve
Johnson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Struve
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
86
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
8
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/46 fights
Chin rating based on
4/28 fights
Struve
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
79
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Struve
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
85%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
6
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Struve
Johnson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
4.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
StruveJohnson
Strike Zones
Struve
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedJohnson
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (50% of attacks) — Struve absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Struve
RND
Johnson
0/0R00/0
Struve · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Johnson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Struve · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Tai TuivasaRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
L · KO · R2
Ben RothwellRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
W · Sub · R2
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 5.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2Decision
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
Johnson · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Brendan SchaubRating 5.5Decision
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
L · Sub · R1
Stefan StruveRating 1.5Submission
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir · 2012-05
W · KO · R1
Pat BarryRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · KO · R1
Joey BeltranRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis · 2012-01