UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva
Stockholm, Sweden
14 Apr 2012
Middleweight
VS
48%
Carmont
52%
Cedenblad
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:42
FC
Francis Carmont
"Limitless"
25 – 12
6'3"78" reachOrthodox44 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
MC
Magnus Cedenblad
"Jycken"
14 – 5
Well-Rounded44 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'5"
CFR 20

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Cedenblad

This is a genuine toss-up — Carmont at 48% vs Cedenblad at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Cedenblad has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Striking split: Cedenblad throws more volume but Carmont connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Cedenblad has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Carmont
Cedenblad
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'5"
78"
Reach
+79"
44
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Carmont
Cedenblad
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.4
19.8
46.6
Performance Avg
54.2
33
Quality of Victory
46
78
Momentum Score
59
Carmont
Cedenblad
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.2
50%
Strike Accuracy
46%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch0
24Ground0
Carmont
Cedenblad
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.6
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Carmont
Cedenblad
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
66
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/37 fights
Chin rating based on
6/19 fights
Carmont
Cedenblad
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
59
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Carmont
Cedenblad
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Carmont
Cedenblad
Striking1.3 / 3.8Volume6.7 / 3.3Grappling4.3 / 4.6Wrestling3.0 / 3.2Submission3.3 / 5.0Pressure4.3 / 7.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
Carmont
Strike Zones
Cedenblad
Carmont
Attacking
24HEAD0BODY0LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Cedenblad
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD0BODY0LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Carmont targets the head (100% of attacks) — Cedenblad absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Cedenblad targets the head (100% of attacks) — Carmont absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Carmont
RND
Cedenblad
0/0R00/0

Carmont · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W5.2W5.2W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.5L2.8L2011-102012-112014-022014-08
WinLossTrend

Cedenblad · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0102.8L5.0W5.2W4.5W5.2W2.8L2012-042013-082014-052014-102016-052016-11
WinLossTrend

Carmont · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Thales LeitesRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Dos Anjos · 2014-08
L · Dec · R3
CB DollawayRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · 2014-05
L · Dec · R3
Jacare SouzaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi · 2014-02
W · Dec · R3
Constantinos PhilippouRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson · 2013-09
W · Dec · R3
Lorenz LarkinRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melendez · 2013-04

Cedenblad · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Jack MarshmanRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
W · KO · R2
Garreth McLellanRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
W · Dec · R3
Scott AskhamRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
W · Sub · R2
Krzysztof JotkoRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · 2014-05
W · Sub · R1
Jared HammanRating 5
Submission
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2 · 2013-08

News & Media

Francis Carmont · Magnus Cedenblad
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