METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva
Stockholm, Sweden
14 Apr 2012
Middleweight
VS
48%
Carmont
52%
Cedenblad
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:42
FC
Francis Carmont
"Limitless"
2512
6'3"78" reachOrthodox44 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
MC
Magnus Cedenblad
"Jycken"
145
Well-Rounded44 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'5"
CFR 20
★ Official Result
Francis CarmontwinsSubmissionR2 · 1:42
def. Magnus Cedenblad · UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cedenblad
Actual result
Carmont wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Carmont at 48% vs Cedenblad at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Cedenblad has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Risk flags

Cedenblad has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
CarmontCedenblad
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Carmont
Cedenblad
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'5"
78"
Reach
+79"
44
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Carmont
Cedenblad
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.4
19.8
46.6
Performance Avg
54.2
33
Quality of Victory
46
78
Momentum Score
59
Carmont
Cedenblad
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
4.3
Style: Pressure
7.3
6.7
Style: Volume
3.3
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch0
24Ground0
Carmont
Cedenblad
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.2
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Carmont
Cedenblad
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
66
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
9/37 fights
Chin rating based on
6/19 fights
Carmont
Cedenblad
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
59
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Carmont
Cedenblad
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Carmont
Cedenblad
Striking1.3 / 3.8Volume6.7 / 3.3Grappling4.3 / 4.6Wrestling3.0 / 3.2Submission3.3 / 5.0Pressure4.3 / 7.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
Carmont
Strike Zones
Cedenblad
Carmont
Attacking
24HEAD0BODY0LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Cedenblad
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD0BODY0LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Carmont targets the head (100% of attacks) — Cedenblad absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Cedenblad targets the head (100% of attacks) — Carmont absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Carmont
RND
Cedenblad
0/0R00/0

Carmont · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Thales Leites
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Dos Anjos · 2014-08
L · Dec · R3
CB Dollaway
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · 2014-05
L · Dec · R3
Jacare Souza
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi · 2014-02
W · Dec · R3
Constantinos Philippou
Decision
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson · 2013-09
W · Dec · R3
Lorenz Larkin
Decision
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melendez · 2013-04

Cedenblad · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Jack Marshman
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
W · KO · R2
Garreth McLellan
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
W · Dec · R3
Scott Askham
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
W · Sub · R2
Krzysztof Jotko
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · 2014-05
W · Sub · R1
Jared Hamman
Submission
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2 · 2013-08

News & Media

Francis Carmont · Magnus Cedenblad
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