UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
25 Oct 2014
Flyweight
VS
48%
Jorgensen
52%
Reis
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:28
SJ
Scott Jorgensen
"Young Guns"
15 – 12
5'5"66" reachOrthodox43 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 14
WR
Wilson Reis
23 – 10
Well-Rounded41 yrsSouthpaw65" reach5'4"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Reis

This is a genuine toss-up — Jorgensen at 48% vs Reis at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Jorgensen has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Jorgensen's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Reis has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Jorgensen
Reis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'4"
66"+
Reach
65"
43
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Jorgensen
Reis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.1
15.5
37.9
Performance Avg
41.5
41
Quality of Victory
33
54
Momentum Score
65
Jorgensen
Reis
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
0.7
38%
Strike Accuracy
33%
3.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
11
1
Body
1
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance5
0Clinch0
2Ground8
Jorgensen
Reis
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jorgensen
Reis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
38
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/27 fights
Chin rating based on
13/33 fights
Jorgensen
Reis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
65
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Jorgensen
Reis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
29%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jorgensen
Reis
Striking3.2 / 1.1Volume4.7 / 6.8Grappling3.2 / 4.0Wrestling2.2 / 2.8Submission2.5 / 2.9Pressure4.5 / 3.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
Jorgensen
Strike Zones
Reis
Jorgensen
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY3LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD1BODY1LEGS13 absorbed
Reis
Attacking
11HEAD1BODY1LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY3LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Jorgensen targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Reis absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Reis targets the head (85% of attacks) — Jorgensen absorbs 85% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Jorgensen
RND
Reis
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Jorgensen · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.0W4.5W5.5L2.8L5.0W3.4L5.5L1.5L4.5W1.5L5.5L2.8L2011-062012-062013-122014-102015-11
WinLossTrend

Reis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W5.5L4.5W5.0W5.5L4.5W5.0W4.5W2.8L4.2L5.5L4.5W2.8L2013-092015-052017-042019-04
WinLossTrend

Jorgensen · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Alejandro PerezRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11
L · Dec · R3
Manvel GamburyanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
L · Sub · R1
Wilson ReisRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
W · Dec · R3
Danny MartinezRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
L · Sub · R1
Jussier FormigaRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03

Reis · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Alexandre PantojaRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · 2019-04
W · Dec · R3
Ben NguyenRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
John MoragaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
L · KO · R2
Henry CejudoRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
L · Sub · R3
Demetrious JohnsonRating 2.8
Submission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04

News & Media

Scott Jorgensen · Wilson Reis
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