METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
25 Oct 2014
Flyweight
VS
48%
Jorgensen
52%
Reis
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:28
★ Official Result
Wilson ReiswinsSubmissionR1 · 3:28
def. Scott Jorgensen · UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Reis
→
Actual result
Reis wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Jorgensen at 48% vs Reis at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Jorgensen's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Reis has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JorgensenReis
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jorgensen
Reis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'4"
66"+
Reach
65"
43
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Jorgensen
Reis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.1
15.5
37.9
Performance Avg
41.5
41
Quality of Victory
33
54
Momentum Score
65
Jorgensen
Reis
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
1.1
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
3.6
4.7
Style: Volume
6.8
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
11
1
Body
1
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance5
0Clinch0
2Ground8
Jorgensen
Reis
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
2.9
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jorgensen
Reis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
38
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/27 fights
Chin rating based on
13/33 fights
Jorgensen
Reis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
65
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Jorgensen
Reis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
29%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jorgensen
Reis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
JorgensenReis
Strike Zones
Jorgensen
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedReis
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jorgensen targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Reis absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Reis targets the head (85% of attacks) — Jorgensen absorbs 85% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jorgensen
RND
Reis
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Jorgensen · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Alejandro PerezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11
L · Dec · R3
Manvel GamburyanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
L · Sub · R1
Wilson ReisSubmission
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
W · Dec · R3
Danny MartinezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
L · Sub · R1
Jussier FormigaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03
Reis · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Alexandre PantojaKO/TKO
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · 2019-04
W · Dec · R3
Ben NguyenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
John MoragaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
L · KO · R2
Henry CejudoKO/TKO
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
L · Sub · R3
Demetrious JohnsonSubmission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04