METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
25 Oct 2014
Flyweight
VS
48%
Jorgensen
52%
Reis
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:28
★ Official Result
Wilson ReiswinsSubmissionR1 · 3:28
def. Scott Jorgensen · UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Reis
→
Actual result
Reis wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Jorgensen at 48% vs Reis at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Jorgensen has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Jorgensen's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Reis has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JorgensenReis
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jorgensen
Reis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'4"
66"+
Reach
65"
43
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Jorgensen
Reis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.1
15.5
37.9
Performance Avg
41.5
41
Quality of Victory
33
54
Momentum Score
65
Jorgensen
Reis
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
0.7
38%
Strike Accuracy
33%
3.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
11
1
Body
1
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance5
0Clinch0
2Ground8
Jorgensen
Reis
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jorgensen
Reis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
38
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/27 fights
Chin rating based on
13/33 fights
Jorgensen
Reis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
65
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Jorgensen
Reis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
29%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jorgensen
Reis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
JorgensenReis
Strike Zones
Jorgensen
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedReis
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jorgensen targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Reis absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Reis targets the head (85% of attacks) — Jorgensen absorbs 85% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jorgensen
RND
Reis
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Jorgensen · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Reis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Jorgensen · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Alejandro PerezRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11
L · Dec · R3
Manvel GamburyanRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
L · Sub · R1
Wilson ReisRating 1.5Submission
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
W · Dec · R3
Danny MartinezRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
L · Sub · R1
Jussier FormigaRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03
Reis · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Alexandre PantojaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · 2019-04
W · Dec · R3
Ben NguyenRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
John MoragaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
L · KO · R2
Henry CejudoRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
L · Sub · R3
Demetrious JohnsonRating 2.8Submission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04