UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2
Beijing, China
24 Nov 2018
Women's Strawweight
VS
89%
Weili
11%
Aguilar
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:41
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Weili
Weili is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 63 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Weili has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.
Striking split: Aguilar throws more volume but Weili connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Weili
Aguilar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"+
Height
5'3"
63"
Reach
63"
36+
Age
44
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Weili
Aguilar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
71.6
8.6
66.9
Performance Avg
23.0
60
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
15
Weili
Aguilar
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.2
56%
Strike Accuracy
54%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
36
Head
0
7
Body
8
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance0
3Clinch9
39Ground0
Weili
Aguilar
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Weili
Aguilar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
82
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/30 fights
Chin rating based on
5/28 fights
Weili
Aguilar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
15
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Weili
Aguilar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Weili
Aguilar
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.6
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.4
WeiliAguilar
Strike Zones
Weili
Attacking
45 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedAguilar
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
45 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Weili targets the head (80% of attacks) — Aguilar absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Aguilar targets the body (89% of attacks) — Weili absorbs 89% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Weili
RND
Aguilar
0/0R00/0
Weili · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Aguilar · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Weili · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 6.9Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R5
Tatiana SuarezRating 6.4Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R5
Yan XiaonanRating 5.5Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Dec · R5
Amanda LemosRating 5.6Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
W · Sub · R2
Carla EsparzaRating 5.4Submission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
Aguilar · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Marina RodriguezRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
L · Sub · R1
Zhang WeiliRating 3.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2 · 2018-11
W · Dec · R3
Jodie EsquibelRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Cortney CaseyRating 5.5Decision
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos · 2017-05
L · Dec · R3
Claudia GadelhaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · 2015-08