UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes
Las Vegas, USA
22 Apr 2023
Featherweight
VS
48%
Marshall
52%
Gomis
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Francis
Francis Marshall
"Fire"
10 – 3
5'9"72" reachOrthodox27 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 51
William
William Gomis
"Jaguar"
15 – 4
Well-Rounded28 yrsSouthpaw73" reach6'0"
CFR 55

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Gomis

This is a genuine toss-up — Marshall at 48% vs Gomis at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Gomis has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Marshall
Gomis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'0"
72"
Reach
+73"
27+
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Marshall
Gomis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.0
55.3
46.7
Performance Avg
46.6
40
Quality of Victory
30
60
Momentum Score
88
Marshall
Gomis
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.2
32%
Strike Accuracy
49%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
1
1
Body
0
0
Leg
9
RangeRange
2Distance10
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Marshall
Gomis
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.2
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Marshall
Gomis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
96
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/13 fights
Chin rating based on
7/19 fights
Marshall
Gomis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
88
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Marshall
Gomis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
20%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Marshall
Gomis
Striking3.6 / 3.4Volume5.1 / 7.8Grappling3.2 / 1.9Wrestling2.2 / 1.3Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure5.2 / 3.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.8
Marshall
Strike Zones
Gomis
Marshall
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY9LEGS10 absorbed
Gomis
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY9LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Marshall targets the head (75% of attacks) — Gomis absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Gomis targets the legs (90% of attacks) — Marshall absorbs 90% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Marshall
RND
Gomis
0/0R00/0

Marshall · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.2W6.5L2.8L5.0W7.5L5.0W4.5W2022-122023-082025-032026-04
WinLossTrend

Gomis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0104.5W5.3W5.5W6.1W6.6L4.5W6.5L2022-092023-092025-032026-05
WinLossTrend

Marshall · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Lucas BrennanRating 4.5
Decision
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Submission
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L · Dec · R3
Mairon SantosRating 7.5
Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Dennis BuzukjaRating 5
Decision
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L · KO · R1
Isaac DulgarianRating 2.8
KO/TKO
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Gomis · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Pat SabatiniRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Robert RuchalaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Hyder AmilRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Joanderson BritoRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · KO · R3
Yanis GhemmouriRating 5.5
KO/TKO
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News & Media

Francis Marshall · William Gomis
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