UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
Las Vegas, USA
4 Oct 2025
Welterweight
VS
56%
Soriano
44%
Veretennikov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Soriano
This is a genuine toss-up — Soriano at 56% vs Veretennikov at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Soriano throws more volume but Veretennikov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Soriano's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Veretennikov has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Soriano
Veretennikov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
72"
Reach
+74"
33+
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Soriano
Veretennikov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.8
43.5
52.0
Performance Avg
38.8
44
Quality of Victory
43
64
Momentum Score
51
Soriano
Veretennikov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.4
55%
Strike Accuracy
59%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
1
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch0
7Ground0
Soriano
Veretennikov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.0
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Soriano
Veretennikov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
52
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/17 fights
Chin rating based on
6/22 fights
Soriano
Veretennikov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
51
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Soriano
Veretennikov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Soriano
Veretennikov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
SorianoVeretennikov
Strike Zones
Soriano
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedVeretennikov
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Soriano targets the head (86% of attacks) — Veretennikov absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Veretennikov targets the head (50% of attacks) — Soriano absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Soriano
RND
Veretennikov
0/0R00/0
Soriano · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Veretennikov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Soriano · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Ramiz BrahimajRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Nikolay VeretennikovRating 4.9Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · KO · R1
Uros MedicRating 6.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Miguel BaezaRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · Sub · R2
Dustin StoltzfusRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
Veretennikov · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Khaos WilliamsRating 2.9KO/TKO
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W · KO · R1
Niko PriceRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Punahele SorianoRating 6.5Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Francisco PradoRating 5.2Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R2
Austin VanderfordRating 4KO/TKO
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