UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson
Toronto, Canada
21 Sept 2013
Welterweight
VS
28%
Clements
72%
Thompson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:27
CC
Chris Clements
"The Menace"
12 – 6
5'10"70" reachOrthodox50 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 18
Stephen
Stephen Thompson
"Wonderboy"
17 – 9
Well-Rounded3-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'0"
CFR 46

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Thompson

Thompson is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Thompson throws more volume but Clements connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Thompson has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Clements
Thompson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
70"
Reach
+75"
50
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Clements
Thompson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
46.3
45.5
Performance Avg
48.9
43
Quality of Victory
43
58
Momentum Score
45
Clements
Thompson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.7
55%
Strike Accuracy
47%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
10
0
Body
0
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
1Distance10
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Clements
Thompson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Clements
Thompson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
32
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/18 fights
Chin rating based on
22/26 fights
Clements
Thompson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
45
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R4
L · Dec · R3
Clements
Thompson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Clements
Thompson
Striking6.0 / 6.1Volume5.0 / 5.1Grappling1.2 / 1.2Wrestling0.8 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.0 / 5.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
Clements
Strike Zones
Thompson
Clements
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD0BODY2LEGS12 absorbed
Thompson
Attacking
10HEAD0BODY2LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Clements targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Thompson absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Thompson targets the head (83% of attacks) — Clements absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Clements
RND
Thompson
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0

Clements · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.5W3.3L5.0W5.5L2012-042013-092014-112015-04
WinLossTrend

Thompson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.0W5.9L4.5W5.2W5.9W4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L2.1L6.0W5.5W5.7L6.6L6.0W4.8L5.2L7.2L2012-022015-072019-032023-122025-07
WinLossTrend

Clements · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Nordine TalebRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
W · KO · R1
Vik GrujicRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping · 2014-11
L · KO · R2
Stephen ThompsonRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson · 2013-09
Upcoming
Matthew Riddle
UFC 149: Faber vs Barao · 2012-07
W · Dec · R3
Keith WisniewskiRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04

Thompson · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Gabriel BonfimRating 7.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Joaquin BuckleyRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Sub · R2
Shavkat RakhmonovRating 4.8
Submission
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
W · KO · R4
Kevin HollandRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12

News & Media

Chris Clements · Stephen Thompson
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