UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic
Nottingham, United Kingdom
29 Sept 2012
Heavyweight
VS
27%
Struve
73%
Miocic
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:50
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Miocic
Miocic is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Struve throws more volume but Miocic connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Struve's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Miocic has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Struve
Miocic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'11"+
Height
6'4"
84"+
Reach
80"
38+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Struve
Miocic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.6
56.3
51.7
Performance Avg
64.9
50
Quality of Victory
59
98
Momentum Score
78
Struve
Miocic
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.7
52%
Strike Accuracy
53%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.9
5 KOs
KO Finishes
9 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
31
Head
8
2
Body
5
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
37Distance14
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Struve
Miocic
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.9
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Struve
Miocic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
10
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
8
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/46 fights
Chin rating based on
19/25 fights
Struve
Miocic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
78
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R4
L · KO · R1
Struve
Miocic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
85%
64%
5
KO / TKO Wins
9
6
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Struve
Miocic
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.9
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.9
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
4.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
StruveMiocic
Strike Zones
Struve
Attacking
37 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedMiocic
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
37 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Struve targets the head (84% of attacks) — Miocic absorbs 84% of strikes there
🎯Miocic targets the head (53% of attacks) — Struve absorbs 53% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Struve
RND
Miocic
0/0R00/0
Struve · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Miocic · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Struve · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Tai TuivasaRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
L · KO · R2
Ben RothwellRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
W · Sub · R2
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 5.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2Decision
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
Miocic · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Jon JonesRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · KO · R2
Francis NgannouRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
W · Dec · R5
Daniel CormierRating 4.5Decision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
W · KO · R4
Daniel CormierRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
L · KO · R1
Daniel CormierRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07