UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith
Moncton, Canada
27 Oct 2018
Light Heavyweight
VS
69%
Cirkunov
31%
Cummins
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:40
MC
Misha Cirkunov
15 – 9
6'3"77" reachOrthodox39 yrs4-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 28
PC
Patrick Cummins
"Durkin"
10 – 7
Well-Rounded3-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'2"
CFR 13

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Cirkunov

Cirkunov holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Cummins has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Cirkunov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.

Cummins has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Cirkunov's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Cummins has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Cirkunov
Cummins
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'2"
77"+
Reach
76"
39+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cirkunov
Cummins
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.3
12.7
50.1
Performance Avg
39.0
53
Quality of Victory
34
59
Momentum Score
45
Cirkunov
Cummins
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.8
54%
Strike Accuracy
54%
2.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
9
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
9Clinch3
1Ground0
Cirkunov
Cummins
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.7
Sub Attempts / fight
—
6.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
4.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cirkunov
Cummins
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
5
KO/TKO Losses
5
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/24 fights
Chin rating based on
13/17 fights
Cirkunov
Cummins
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
45
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Cirkunov
Cummins
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
5
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cirkunov
Cummins
Striking2.6 / 4.3Volume0.9 / 6.3Grappling6.7 / 1.6Wrestling4.7 / 1.1Submission8.3 / 0.0Pressure8.4 / 3.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
6.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
4.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
8.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.7
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
Cirkunov
Strike Zones
Cummins
Cirkunov
Attacking
2HEAD9BODY0LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD3BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Cummins
Attacking
0HEAD3BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD9BODY0LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cirkunov targets the body (82% of attacks) — Cummins absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Cummins targets the body (100% of attacks) — Cirkunov absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cirkunov
RND
Cummins
0/0R00/0

Cirkunov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.0W5.2W5.8W6.2W2.3L1.9L5.0W2.3L6.5W1.9L5.5L2.8L2.4L2015-082017-052019-092022-10
WinLossTrend

Cummins · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.6
0101.5L5.2W4.5W4.5W2.1L5.5W3.1L1.5L5.1W4.5W5.5L1.5L1.7L2014-022015-042017-042019-05
WinLossTrend

Cirkunov · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Alonzo MenifieldRating 2.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
L · Sub · R2
Wellington TurmanRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · KO · R1
Ryan SpannRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
W · Sub · R1
Jimmy CruteRating 6.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09

Cummins · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Ed HermanRating 1.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
L · Sub · R1
Misha CirkunovRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Corey AndersonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
W · Dec · R3
Gian VillanteRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
W · Dec · R3
Jan BlachowiczRating 5.1
Decision
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04

News & Media

Misha Cirkunov · Patrick Cummins
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