UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez
Memphis, USA
12 Dec 2009
Heavyweight
VS
50%
Mir
50%
Kongo
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:12
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Mir
This is a genuine toss-up — Mir at 50% vs Kongo at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Mir has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Kongo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Mir's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Kongo has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Mir
Kongo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
79"
Reach
+82"
47+
Age
51
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Mir
Kongo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.2
20.9
57.4
Performance Avg
51.8
56
Quality of Victory
43
88
Momentum Score
100
Mir
Kongo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.7
48%
Strike Accuracy
63%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.8
5 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Mir
Kongo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.9
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Mir
Kongo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
38
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
8
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/29 fights
Chin rating based on
18/37 fights
Mir
Kongo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Mir
Kongo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
81%
55%
5
KO / TKO Wins
6
8
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mir
Kongo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.9
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
2.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
MirKongo
Strike Zones
Mir
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedKongo
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Mir targets the head (100% of attacks) — Kongo absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mir
RND
Kongo
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Mir · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Kongo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Mir · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Mark HuntRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir · 2016-03
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2Decision
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
W · KO · R1
Todd DuffeeRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Antonio SilvaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir · 2015-02
L · Dec · R3
Alistair OvereemRating 5.5Decision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02
Kongo · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Roy NelsonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04
W · Dec · R3
Shawn JordanRating 4.5Decision
UFC 149: Faber vs Barao · 2012-07
L · KO · R1
Mark HuntRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson · 2012-02
W · Dec · R3
Matt MitrioneRating 4.5Decision
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10
W · KO · R1
Pat BarryRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06