Brad Pickett vs Thomas Almeida — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor

Las Vegas, USA

11 Jul 2015

Bantamweight

43%

Pickett

57%

Almeida

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 2 · 0:29

Brad Pickett

"One Punch"

25 – 14

5'6"68" reachOrthodox47 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 14

Thomas Almeida

"Thominhas"

22 – 5

Knockout Artist4-fight slide35 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'7"

CFR 18

★ Official Result

Thomas AlmeidawinsKO/TKOR2 · 0:29

def. Brad Pickett · UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Almeida

→

Actual result

Almeida wins

KO/TKO · R2

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Pickett at 43% vs Almeida at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Almeida has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.

Risk flags

Pickett's chin rating of 12 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Almeida has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

PickettAlmeida

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Pickett

Almeida

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'6"

Height

+5'7"

68"

Reach

+70"

Age

+35

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

Pickett

Almeida

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

13.8

18.4

36.4

Performance Avg

50.6

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Pickett

Almeida

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.7

/ 10

9.0

/ 10

3.9

Style: Pressure

7.1

5.5

Style: Volume

2.6

1 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

4 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

0Distance2

0Clinch0

0Ground0

Pickett

Almeida

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.0

/ 10

0.5

/ 10

2.1

Wrestling Style (/10)

0.3

2.0

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Pickett

Almeida

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R2.5 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R2.0 stoppage

Most recent fight

Last KO loss

Most recent fight

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

14/39 fights

Chin rating based on

10/27 fights

Pickett

Almeida

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

3-fight 📉 slide

Current form

4-fight 📉 slide

L · KO · R3

L · Dec · R3

L · Sub · R1

W · Dec · R3

L · KO · R2

Last 5

L · KO · R3

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R2

L · Dec · R3

W · KO · R2

Pickett

Almeida

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

40%

80%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pickett

Almeida

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

2.7

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

9.0

3.0

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

0.5

2.1

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.3

2.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

3.9

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

7.1

5.5

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

2.6

Pickett

Strike Zones

Almeida

Pickett

Attacking

0 landed

Absorbing

2 absorbed

Almeida

Attacking

2 landed

Absorbing

0 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Almeida targets the head (100% of attacks) — Pickett absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pickett

RND

Almeida

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Pickett · Last 5

L · KO · R3

Marlon Vera

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03

L · Dec · R3

Urijah Faber

Decision

UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12

L · Sub · R1

Iuri Alcantara

Submission

UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10

W · Dec · R3

Francisco Rivera

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02

L · KO · R2

Thomas Almeida

KO/TKO

UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07

Almeida · Last 5

L · KO · R3

Sean O'Malley

KO/TKO

UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03

L · Dec · R3

Jonathan Martinez

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · 2020-10

L · KO · R2

Rob Font

KO/TKO

UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01

L · Dec · R3

Jimmie Rivera

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07

W · KO · R2

Albert Morales

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11

News & Media

Brad Pickett · Thomas Almeida

← Back to fights