UFC 101: Declaration
Philadelphia, USA
8 Aug 2009
Middleweight
VS
50%
Almeida
50%
Grove
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Almeida
This is a genuine toss-up — Almeida at 50% vs Grove at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Grove has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Striking split: Grove throws more volume but Almeida connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Almeida's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Grove has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Almeida
Grove
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'6"
74"
Reach
+79"
49
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Almeida
Grove
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.0
18.0
45.1
Performance Avg
53.6
39
Quality of Victory
53
72
Momentum Score
52
Almeida
Grove
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.1
49%
Strike Accuracy
43%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
6
1
Body
4
3
Leg
3
RangeRange
8Distance2
0Clinch8
2Ground3
Almeida
Grove
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.3
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Almeida
Grove
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
28
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/18 fights
Chin rating based on
13/40 fights
Almeida
Grove
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
52
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Almeida
Grove
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
57%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Almeida
Grove
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
AlmeidaGrove
Strike Zones
Almeida
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedGrove
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Almeida targets the head (60% of attacks) — Grove absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Grove targets the head (46% of attacks) — Almeida absorbs 46% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Almeida
RND
Grove
0/0R00/0
Almeida · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Grove · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Almeida · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Mike PyleRating 5.5Decision
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · 2011-03
W · Dec · R3
TJ GrantRating 4.5Decision
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2 · 2010-12
L · Sub · R1
Matt HughesRating 1.5Submission
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen · 2010-08
W · Sub · R2
Matt BrownRating 5.6Submission
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy · 2010-03
W · Dec · R3
Kendall GroveRating 4.5Decision
UFC 101: Declaration · 2009-08
Grove · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tim BoetschRating 5.5Decision
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05
L · Dec · R3
Demian MaiaRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale · 2010-12
W · Dec · R3
Goran ReljicRating 4.5Decision
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
L · KO · R2
Mark MunozRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 112: Invincible · 2010-04
W · Sub · R1
Jake RosholtRating 5Submission
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11