UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley
Las Vegas, USA
19 Sept 2020
Featherweight
VS
32%
Bektic
68%
Jackson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 1:21
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jackson
Jackson holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Bektic has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jackson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Bektic's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jackson has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Bektic
Jackson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
+71"
35+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Bektic
Jackson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.0
40.5
48.4
Performance Avg
43.0
41
Quality of Victory
38
84
Momentum Score
59
Bektic
Jackson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.2
32%
Strike Accuracy
43%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
2
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch3
0Ground0
Bektic
Jackson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.9
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bektic
Jackson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
28
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/17 fights
Chin rating based on
14/31 fights
Bektic
Jackson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
59
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Bektic
Jackson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bektic
Jackson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.9
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
BekticJackson
Strike Zones
Bektic
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedJackson
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jackson targets the head (50% of attacks) — Bektic absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bektic
RND
Jackson
0/0R00/0
Bektic · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Jackson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Bektic · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Damon JacksonRating 4.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Dan IgeRating 6.2Decision
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02
L · KO · R1
Josh EmmettRating 1.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
W · Dec · R3
Ricardo LamasRating 4.5Decision
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
W · KO · R1
Godofredo PepeyRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01
Jackson · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Jim MillerRating 1.9Submission
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Chepe MariscalRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Alexander HernandezRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
L · Dec · R3
Billy QuarantilloRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
L · KO · R2
Dan IgeRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · 2023-01