METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi
Jaragua do Sul, Brazil
15 Feb 2014
Middleweight
VS
44%
Machida
56%
Mousasi
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Lyoto MachidawinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Gegard Mousasi · UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Mousasi
→
Actual result
Machida wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Machida at 44% vs Mousasi at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Machida's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Mousasi has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MachidaMousasi
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Machida
Mousasi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
74"
Reach
+76"
48
Age
+41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Machida
Mousasi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.7
23.5
53.8
Performance Avg
59.2
45
Quality of Victory
49
78
Momentum Score
100
Machida
Mousasi
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.7
/ 10
7.1
/ 10
5.5
Style: Pressure
6.9
5.3
Style: Volume
4.2
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
4
2
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance5
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Machida
Mousasi
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.6
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Machida
Mousasi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
64
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/32 fights
Chin rating based on
12/48 fights
Machida
Mousasi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
100
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
5-fight 🔥 win streak
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Machida
Mousasi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
67%
7
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Machida
Mousasi
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.1
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
MachidaMousasi
Strike Zones
Machida
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedMousasi
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Machida targets the head (57% of attacks) — Mousasi absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Mousasi targets the head (80% of attacks) — Machida absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Machida
RND
Mousasi
0/0R00/0
Machida · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Vitor BelfortKO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R5
Eryk AndersDecision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
L · KO · R1
Derek BrunsonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10
L · KO · R3
Yoel RomeroKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06
L · Sub · R2
Luke RockholdSubmission
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold · 2015-04
Mousasi · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Chris WeidmanKO/TKO
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
W · KO · R1
Uriah HallKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
W · KO · R2
Vitor BelfortKO/TKO
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · KO · R1
Thiago SantosKO/TKO
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
W · Dec · R3
Thales LeitesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02