UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort
Toronto, Canada
22 Sept 2012
Welterweight
VS
46%
Baczynski
54%
Thoresen
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:10
SB
Seth Baczynski
"The Polish Pistola"
20 – 14
6'3"75" reachOrthodox44 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 14
ST
Simeon Thoresen
"The Grin"
17 – 6
Submission Hunter2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'1"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Thoresen

This is a genuine toss-up — Baczynski at 46% vs Thoresen at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Thoresen has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Baczynski's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Baczynski
Thoresen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
75"
Reach
+79"
44
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Baczynski
Thoresen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.3
17.0
43.3
Performance Avg
43.0
42
Quality of Victory
50
33
Momentum Score
35
Baczynski
Thoresen
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.8
31%
Strike Accuracy
41%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
9
3
Body
4
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
12Distance15
2Clinch2
1Ground0
Baczynski
Thoresen
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
4.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
2.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Baczynski
Thoresen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/34 fights
Chin rating based on
3/23 fights
Baczynski
Thoresen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
35
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Baczynski
Thoresen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Baczynski
Thoresen
Striking2.9 / 0.7Volume4.1 / 0.7Grappling4.2 / 8.0Wrestling2.9 / 5.6Submission4.0 / 10.0Pressure5.6 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Baczynski
Strike Zones
Thoresen
Baczynski
Attacking
12HEAD3BODY0LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD4BODY4LEGS17 absorbed
Thoresen
Attacking
9HEAD4BODY4LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD3BODY0LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Baczynski targets the head (80% of attacks) — Thoresen absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Thoresen targets the head (53% of attacks) — Baczynski absorbs 53% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Baczynski
RND
Thoresen
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Baczynski · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.5L5.2W5.6W4.5W5.0W5.5L1.5L5.1W5.5L1.5L2.6L2010-062012-062013-072014-082015-04
WinLossTrend

Thoresen · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.2W1.5L5.5L2012-042012-092013-01
WinLossTrend

Baczynski · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Leon EdwardsRating 2.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro Cop 2 · 2015-04
L · KO · R1
Alan JoubanRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux · 2014-08
L · Dec · R3
Thiago AlvesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne · 2014-04
W · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 · 2013-11
L · KO · R1
Brian MelanconRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07

Thoresen · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
David MitchellRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
L · KO · R1
Seth BaczynskiRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09
W · Sub · R2
Besam YousefRating 5.2
Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04

News & Media

Seth Baczynski · Simeon Thoresen
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