METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort
Toronto, Canada
22 Sept 2012
Welterweight
VS
46%
Baczynski
54%
Thoresen
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:10
SB
CFR 14
★ Official Result
Seth BaczynskiwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:10
def. Simeon Thoresen · UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Thoresen
→
Actual result
Baczynski wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Baczynski at 46% vs Thoresen at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Thoresen has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Baczynski's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BaczynskiThoresen
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Baczynski
Thoresen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
75"
Reach
+79"
44
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Baczynski
Thoresen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.3
17.0
43.3
Performance Avg
43.0
42
Quality of Victory
50
33
Momentum Score
35
Baczynski
Thoresen
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
1.8
31%
Strike Accuracy
41%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
9
3
Body
4
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
12Distance15
2Clinch2
1Ground0
Baczynski
Thoresen
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
4.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
2.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Baczynski
Thoresen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/34 fights
Chin rating based on
3/23 fights
Baczynski
Thoresen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
35
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Baczynski
Thoresen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Baczynski
Thoresen
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
BaczynskiThoresen
Strike Zones
Baczynski
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedThoresen
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Baczynski targets the head (80% of attacks) — Thoresen absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Thoresen targets the head (53% of attacks) — Baczynski absorbs 53% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Baczynski
RND
Thoresen
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Baczynski · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Thoresen · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Baczynski · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Leon EdwardsRating 2.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro Cop 2 · 2015-04
L · KO · R1
Alan JoubanRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux · 2014-08
L · Dec · R3
Thiago AlvesRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne · 2014-04
W · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 · 2013-11
L · KO · R1
Brian MelanconRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
Thoresen · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
David MitchellRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
L · KO · R1
Seth BaczynskiRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09
W · Sub · R2
Besam YousefRating 5.2Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04