UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare
Sao Paulo, Brazil
16 Nov 2019
Welterweight
VS
47%
Moraes
53%
Krause
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:19
SM
Sergio Moraes
"The Panther"
14 – 6
6'0"72" reachOrthodox43 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 19
JK
James Krause
"The"
28 – 9
Well-Rounded39 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'2"
CFR 22

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Krause

This is a genuine toss-up — Moraes at 47% vs Krause at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Krause has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Moraes's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Moraes
Krause
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
72"
Reach
+73"
43
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Moraes
Krause
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.0
21.6
47.0
Performance Avg
52.0
37
Quality of Victory
40
95
Momentum Score
97
Moraes
Krause
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
2.3
44%
Strike Accuracy
49%
2.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
39
2
Body
1
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
20Distance43
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Moraes
Krause
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
4.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
2.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Moraes
Krause
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
72
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
11 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/20 fights
Chin rating based on
13/37 fights
Moraes
Krause
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
95
97
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Moraes
Krause
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
56%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
3
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Moraes
Krause
Striking2.5 / 4.7Volume5.2 / 4.9Grappling4.2 / 2.8Wrestling2.9 / 2.0Submission3.8 / 2.2Pressure5.3 / 6.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.7
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
Moraes
Strike Zones
Krause
Moraes
Attacking
17HEAD2BODY1LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
39HEAD1BODY5LEGS45 absorbed
Krause
Attacking
39HEAD1BODY5LEGS45 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD2BODY1LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Moraes targets the head (85% of attacks) — Krause absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Krause targets the head (87% of attacks) — Moraes absorbs 87% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Moraes
RND
Krause
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
0/0R20/0

Moraes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L5.5W5.6W4.5W5.5W4.5W4.5W2.6L4.6W5.2W5.5L4.2L4.0L2012-062015-122018-022019-11
WinLossTrend

Krause · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W2.2L5.0W5.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5W5.5W5.7L4.5W2013-062015-022018-012020-10
WinLossTrend

Moraes · Last 5

L · KO · R3
James KrauseRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
L · KO · R3
Warlley AlvesRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
W · Sub · R2
Ben SaundersRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
W · Dec · R3
Tim MeansRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02

Krause · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Claudio SilvaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · 2020-10
L · Dec · R3
Trevin GilesRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02
W · KO · R3
Sergio MoraesRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
W · KO · R2
Warlley AlvesRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · Dec · R3
Alex WhiteRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · 2018-01

News & Media

Sergio Moraes · James Krause
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