METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare
Sao Paulo, Brazil
16 Nov 2019
Welterweight
VS
47%
Moraes
53%
Krause
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:19
★ Official Result
James KrausewinsKO/TKOR3 · 4:19
def. Sergio Moraes · UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Krause
→
Actual result
Krause wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Moraes at 47% vs Krause at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Moraes's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MoraesKrause
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Moraes
Krause
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
72"
Reach
+73"
44
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Moraes
Krause
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.0
21.6
47.0
Performance Avg
52.0
37
Quality of Victory
40
95
Momentum Score
97
Moraes
Krause
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
4.7
/ 10
5.3
Style: Pressure
6.0
5.2
Style: Volume
4.9
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
39
2
Body
1
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
20Distance43
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Moraes
Krause
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
2.8
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
2.2
3
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Moraes
Krause
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
72
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
11 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/20 fights
Chin rating based on
13/37 fights
Moraes
Krause
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
95
97
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Moraes
Krause
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
56%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
3
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Moraes
Krause
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.7
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
MoraesKrause
Strike Zones
Moraes
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
45 absorbedKrause
Attacking
45 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Moraes targets the head (85% of attacks) — Krause absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Krause targets the head (87% of attacks) — Moraes absorbs 87% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Moraes
RND
Krause
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
0/0R20/0
Moraes · Last 5
L · KO · R3
James KrauseKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
L · KO · R3
Warlley AlvesKO/TKO
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
W · Sub · R2
Ben SaundersSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
W · Dec · R3
Tim MeansDecision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
Krause · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Claudio SilvaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · 2020-10
L · Dec · R3
Trevin GilesDecision
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02
W · KO · R3
Sergio MoraesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
W · KO · R2
Warlley AlvesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · Dec · R3
Alex WhiteDecision
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · 2018-01